Nea Salamis vs Pafos 1. Division prediction & result
Final score: Nea Salamis 0-0 Pafos.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Nea Salamis, 26% draw, 44% Pafos — fair odds of 3.33, 3.85 and 2.27.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Pafos at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Nea Salamis vs Pafos
Line-ups
- 1Alberto VaróG
- 17AldairF
- 19K. AngielskiF
- 4P. ArtymatasD
- 6Georgios ChristodoulouM
- 25K. IliaM
- 29F. HaninD
- 7S. GrandsirM
- 55Sergio GonzálezD
- 10C. GiousisF
- 71G. GerolemouM
- 12A. DimitriouD
- 8José ArtilesM
- 34C. EvangelouF
- 14T. Johnson EbohM
- 63D. KovácsG
- 24V. LampropoulosD
- 89P. LoukaF
- 37B. ManuF
- 5A. MichailD
- 20BielF
- 7Bruno FelipeF
- 77João CorreiaD
- 30V. DragomirM
- 6GugaM
- 18LelêF
- 3S. MmaeeD
- 23Jonatás NoroD
- 12K. SemaM
- 26I. ŠunjićM
- 99R. MajeckiG
- 4David LuizD
- 60Christos EvzonasM
- 72K. IoannouD
- 14N. IoannouD
- 47M. MammadovM
- 71M. PapastylianouG
- 17afonso patraoF
- 82P. PetrouG
- 8Domingos QuinaM
Form going into Nea Salamis vs Pafos
Nea Salamis
1. Division
- L2-4away to Apollon Limassol17 October 2026
- L1-2away to Apoel Nicosia10 October 2026
Pafos
1. Division
- D0-0Apoel Nicosia19 October 2026
- W3-1away to Anorthosis11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Cyprus 1. Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nea Salamis | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 8 |
| 6 | Pafos | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nea Salamis vs Pafos
- 16 December 2024Nea Salamis 0–2 Pafos1. Division
- 18 September 2024Pafos 4–0 Nea Salamis1. Division
- 28 February 2024Nea Salamis 0–5 PafosCup
- 19 February 2024Pafos 0–0 Nea Salamis1. Division
- 3 December 2023Nea Salamis 0–2 Pafos1. Division
- 3 February 2023Pafos 1–2 Nea Salamis1. Division
Leading scorers: Nea Salamis and Pafos
Nea Salamis
GoalsAssists
- S. Grandsir30
Pafos
GoalsAssists
- Lelê20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Nea Salamis and Pafos drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Pafos at 44% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Nea Salamis a 25.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 17.3% after a win, 25.0% after a draw, 28.5% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 25.0%.
For Pafos the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 84.2% going in: 88.6% after a win, 84.5% after a draw, 78.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 84.5%.
Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.