Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Hazm 2-2 Al-Fayha.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Al-Hazm, 28% draw, 32% Al-Fayha — fair odds of 2.50, 3.57 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Al-Hazm at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 36J. StaněkG
- 82Abdulaziz Al-HarbiD
- 4Sultan TankerD
- 34Abdulrahman Al-DakheelD
- 3A. Ben HmidaD
- 17Bonheur MugishaM
- 24A. BahM
- 10A. SayoudM
- 28S. BendebkaM
- 27Ahmed Al NakhliM
- 9Afimico PululuF
- 70Ahmed Al ShamraniM
- 77M. Al HamdaniF
- 88K. AbduljawadF
- 13Abdullah Al ShanqitiD
- 11Waleed Al ShanqitiF
- 5Mohammed IssaD
- 95Jaser AteeqD
- 8M. KonatéM
- 23Ibrahim ZaidG
- 52O. MosqueraG
- 22Mohammed Al BaqawiD
- 21Ziyad Al SahafiD
- 25O. ColleyD
- 24Ahmed BamasudD
- 40Yago SantanaM
- 6Ali Al HussainM
- 30Alfa SemedoM
- 5Hugo MouraM
- 23JasonF
- 10F. SakalaF
- 9Malek Al AbdulmanamF
- 14Mansor Al BesheM
- 1Abdulraoof Al-DeqeelG
- 12Turki Al JaadiD
- 67Danyal Al HabeebM
- 7Nawaf Al-HarthiM
- 2Mukhir Al RashidiD
- 43Fahad Majed AlhubayshiM
- 77R. EnadF
Form going into Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha
Al-Hazm
Pro League
- L0-1away to Al-Hilal19 October 2026
- L2-3Al-Fateh15 October 2026
- D1-1NEOM10 October 2026
Al-Fayha
Pro League
- L2-3Al-Ahli Jeddah19 October 2026
- L0-2away to Al Khaleej Saihat15 October 2026
- D1-1Al Riyadh11 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Saudi Arabia Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Al-Hazm | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha
- 11 April 2026Al-Hazm 2–0 Al-FayhaPro League
- 25 December 2025Al-Fayha 0–0 Al-HazmPro League
- 17 February 2024Al-Hazm 1–3 Al-FayhaPro League
- 25 August 2023Al-Fayha 0–0 Al-HazmPro League
- 7 May 2022Al-Hazm 3–1 Al-FayhaPro League
- 5 November 2021Al-Fayha 1–0 Al-HazmPro League
The result against the call
Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Al-Hazm at 40% and given a draw 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Bonheur Mugisha 5' for Al-Hazm, Fashion Sakala 33' for Al-Fayha, Sultan Tanker (own goal) 69' for Al-Fayha, Amir Saâyoud (penalty) 89' for Al-Hazm. On expected goals it finished 2.40–0.98.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Al-Hazm a 16.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 11.2% after a win, 17.3% after a draw, 22.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 17.3%, 0.5 points higher than before the match.
For Al-Fayha the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 32.5% going in: 24.4% after a win, 33.3% after a draw, 38.0% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 33.3%, 0.8 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.