15 October 2026, 14:50 UTC

Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha Pro League prediction & result

Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium, Dammam
Referee: Ibrahim Ahmed Al-Jurays
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Al Khaleej Saihat 2-0 Al-Fayha.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Al Khaleej Saihat, 28% draw, 37% Al-Fayha — fair odds of 2.86, 3.57 and 2.70.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Al-Fayha at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Al Khaleej Saihat99%Draw1%Al-Fayha0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

35'
🔁Lázaro Vinicius Marquesout: Nawaf Al-Harthi
50'
Nawaf Al-Harthi
⚽Joshua King
52'
🔁Fahad Al Rashidiout: Mansour Hamzi
58'
🔁Joshua Kingout: Mateo Benegas
74'
🔁Saleh Al Amriout: Nawaf Al-Sadi
74'
74'
🔁Mohammed Al-Baqawiout: Rayan Enad
74'
🔁Nawaf Al-Harthiout: Fahad Al Hubayshi
76'
•Yago Souza
⚽Mateo Benegasassist: Mansour Hamzi
80'
84'
Jason Remeseiro
85'
🔁Ali Al-Hussainout: Malek Al-Abdulmonam
86'
🔁Mokher Al-Rashidiout: Mansor Al Beshe
🔁Musa Barrowout: Fawaz Al-Sagour
88'
🔁Abdullah Al-Hafithout: Ahmad Asiri
89'

Match stats — Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha

46%Possession54%
11Shots10
5On target0
6Corners4
1.74xG0.87

Goals against chances

Al Khaleej Saihat2 from 1.74 xGabout what the chances were worth
Al-Fayha0 from 0.87 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Al Khaleej Saihat 4-4-2
  • 96Marwan Al HaidariG
  • 39Saeed Al HamsalD
  • 17Abdullah Al HafithD
  • 3Mohammed Al KhabraniD
  • 5Pedro RebochoD
  • 11Saleh Al AmriM
  • 8Omar MascarellM
  • 12Majed KanabahM
  • 97Fahad Al RashidiM
  • 7J. KingF
  • 99M. BarrowF
Substitutes
  • 14Ali Al ShaafiD
  • 90Thamer Al KhaibriF
  • 27Fawaz Al SaqourD
  • 13Ahmad AsiriD
  • 9M. BenegasF
  • 15Mansour HamziF
  • 1M. Abbas IbrahimG
  • 4K. KouyatéD
  • 18Nawaf Al SaadiF
Coach: José Gomes
Al-Fayha 4-4-2
  • 52O. MosqueraG
  • 22Mohammed Al BaqawiD
  • 2Mukhir Al RashidiD
  • 25O. ColleyD
  • 24Ahmed BamasudD
  • 23JasonM
  • 5Hugo MouraM
  • 6Ali Al HussainM
  • 40Yago SantanaM
  • 30Alfa SemedoF
  • 17LázaroF
Substitutes
  • 9Malek Al AbdulmanamF
  • 14Mansor Al BesheM
  • 1Abdulraoof Al-DeqeelG
  • 7Nawaf Al-HarthiM
  • 27S. Al HarbiF
  • 21Ziyad Al SahafiD
  • 43Fahad Majed AlhubayshiM
  • 77R. EnadF
  • 84Hameed Shoei HazaziD
Coach: Fábio Carille

Form going into Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha

Al Khaleej Saihat

Pro League

  • D1-1away to Al-Ettifaq10 October 2026

Al-Fayha

Pro League

  • D1-1Al Riyadh11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Saudi Arabia Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Al Khaleej Saihat123631419-515
13Al-Fayha122551620-411

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Fayha

  • 28 January 2026Al-Fayha 3–1 Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
  • 13 September 2025Al Khaleej Saihat 3–0 Al-FayhaPro League
  • 20 February 2025Al-Fayha 0–0 Al Khaleej SaihatPro League
  • 20 September 2024Al Khaleej Saihat 0–0 Al-FayhaPro League
  • 21 December 2023Al Khaleej Saihat 3–0 Al-FayhaPro League

Leading scorers: Al Khaleej Saihat and Al-Fayha

Al Khaleej Saihat

GoalsAssists

  • J. King50

Al-Fayha

No player in Pro League's leading scorers — 16 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Al Khaleej Saihat beat Al-Fayha 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Al-Fayha at 37% and given a win for Al Khaleej Saihat 35%. The goals: Joshua King 52' for Al Khaleej Saihat, Mateo Benegas 80' for Al Khaleej Saihat. On expected goals it finished 1.74–0.87.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Al Khaleej Saihat a 33.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 25.3% after a win, 35.6% after a draw, 39.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 25.3%, 8.4 points lower than before the match.

For Al-Fayha the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 21.1% going in: 14.5% after a win, 21.8% after a draw, 26.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 26.3%, 5.2 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.