23 October 2026, 16:45 UTC

Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC Stars League prediction & result

Ahmed bin Ali Stadium, Lai Yang
Full time1 – 6

Final score: Al-Sailiya 1-6 Al-Rayyan SC.

Before kick-off the model made it 13% Al-Sailiya, 20% draw, 67% Al-Rayyan SC — fair odds of 7.69, 5.00 and 1.49.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Al-Rayyan SC at 67%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

20'
⚽Gabriel Pereira
22'
⚽Ahmed Alaaeldin
Majed Mohammed
30'
🔁Ali Olwanout: Kellian van der Kaap
41'
43'
⚽Ahmed Alaaeldinassist: Róger Guedes
45'
🔁Julien De Sartout: Abdulaziz Hatim
🔁Salem Sultan Al-Sufianiout: Abdelaziz Mitwali
45'
🔁Ahmed Doozandehout: Mohamed Taabouni
45'
51'
⚽Kellian van der Kaap (OG)
⚽Anwar El Ghaziassist: Joselu
58'
61'
🔁David Garcíaout: Abdullah Yousef
61'
🔁Gabriel Pereiraout: Khalid Ali Sabah
67'
⚽Khalid Ali Sabahassist: Róger Guedes
70'
⚽Yousef Aymanassist: Khalid Ali Sabah
74'
Diogo Amaro
🔁Joseluout: Mus'ab Al-Batat
74'
🔁Younès Belhandaout: Mohammed Osama Osman
74'
76'
🔁Diogo Amaroout: Hazem Ahmed
83'
🔁Ahmed Alaaeldinout: Ibrahim Mohammed Al-Hassan
87'
•Hazem Ahmed

Match stats — Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC

31%Possession69%
4Shots29
1On target9
1Corners11
0.17xG2.9

Goals against chances

Al-Sailiya1 from 0.17 xGmore than the chances were worth
Al-Rayyan SC6 from 2.90 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Al-Sailiya 4-2-3-1
  • 50Youssef SayedG
  • 2Abdulla Mahmoud MahmoudD
  • 99Salem Al-SufianiD
  • 15M. NaniD
  • 4Majed MohammedD
  • 8Ahmed DoozandehM
  • 5Abdulrahman MohamedM
  • 9Ali OlwanM
  • 20Y. BelhandaM
  • 21A. El GhaziM
  • 13JoseluF
Substitutes
  • 67M. OsmanM
  • 10M. TaabouniF
  • 22Andri SyahputraM
  • 55K. van der KaapD
  • 6Moataz BostamiM
  • 71Mus'ab Al BattatD
  • 19Abdulaziz Al BakriF
  • 1B. BurkeG
  • 25R. DanzabeM
Coach: Mirghany Al-Zein
Al-Rayyan SC 4-1-4-1
  • 57Mahmud AbunadaG
  • 31D. AmaroD
  • 17Youssef AymanD
  • 5David GarcíaD
  • 33D. DiakiteD
  • 4J. De SartM
  • 11Gabriel PereiraM
  • 40GregoreM
  • 22Ahmed Al GanehiM
  • 10Róger GuedesM
  • 30Ahmed Alaa EldinF
Substitutes
  • 6Abdulaziz HatemM
  • 13André AmaroD
  • 35Sami MazenG
  • 23S. BeldiG
  • 21Ibrahim Mohammed Al-HassanM
  • 16Jassem Al SharshaniM
  • 3Hazem ShehataD
  • 15Mostafa EssamM
  • 2Abdalla YousifD
Coach: Vicente Moreno

Form going into Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC

Al-Sailiya

Stars League

  • D2-2Qatar SC17 October 2026
  • L0-5away to Al Ahli Doha10 October 2026

Al-Rayyan SC

Stars League

  • D0-0away to Al-Gharafa18 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Qatar SC9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Stars League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Al-Sailiya9018933-241
1Al-Rayyan SC9630206+1421

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Al-Sailiya vs Al-Rayyan SC

  • 28 September 2026Al-Sailiya 1–1 Al-Rayyan SCQSL Cup
  • 6 January 2026Al-Sailiya 1–3 Al-Rayyan SCStars League
  • 14 November 2025Al-Sailiya 1–4 Al-Rayyan SCQSL Cup
  • 14 August 2025Al-Rayyan SC 3–1 Al-SailiyaStars League
  • 14 April 2023Al-Sailiya 2–2 Al-Rayyan SCStars League
  • 7 March 2023Al-Rayyan SC 1–2 Al-SailiyaEmir Cup

Leading scorers: Al-Sailiya and Al-Rayyan SC

Al-Sailiya

No player in Stars League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.

Al-Rayyan SC

GoalsAssists

  • Róger Guedes62
  • Ahmed Alaa Eldin50
  • Gabriel Pereira33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Al-Rayyan SC won 6–1 at Al-Sailiya. The model had made a win for Al-Rayyan SC its most likely outcome, at 67%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Gabriel Pereira 20' for Al-Rayyan SC, Ahmed Alaaeldin 22' for Al-Rayyan SC, Ahmed Alaaeldin 43' for Al-Rayyan SC, Kellian van der Kaap (own goal) 51' for Al-Rayyan SC, Anwar El Ghazi 58' for Al-Sailiya, Khalid Ali Sabah 67' for Al-Rayyan SC, Yousef Ayman 70' for Al-Rayyan SC. Sent off: Majed Mohammed (Al-Sailiya) 30'. On expected goals it finished 0.17–2.90.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Al-Sailiya a 89.9% chance to finish in the bottom two: 73.0% after a win, 87.5% after a draw, 93.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 93.4%, 3.5 points higher than before the match.

For Al-Rayyan SC the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 44.4% going in: 50.8% after a win, 30.7% after a draw, 20.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 50.8%, 6.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Stars League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.