Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al-Sailiya 2-2 Qatar SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% Al-Sailiya, 25% draw, 45% Qatar SC — fair odds of 3.33, 4.00 and 2.22.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Qatar Stars League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Qatar SC at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1B. BurkeG
- 99Salem Al-SufianiD
- 4Majed MohammedD
- 15M. NaniD
- 2Abdulla Mahmoud MahmoudD
- 20Y. BelhandaM
- 8Ahmed DoozandehM
- 9Ali OlwanM
- 5Abdulrahman MohamedM
- 13JoseluM
- 21A. El GhaziF
- 6Moataz BostamiM
- 22Andri SyahputraM
- 77Mouz Gadelseed AbdallaD
- 19Abdulaziz Al BakriF
- 71Mus'ab Al BattatD
- 31M. Al BustamiG
- 25R. DanzabeM
- 7Mohab Mohammed EissaM
- 18Awab HussainD
- 17A. N. MahmoudG
- 21Abdullah MarafeeD
- 40S. F. DioufD
- 5A. GunnarssonD
- 4A. SaoudiD
- 14Said BrahmiM
- 6Pau PrimM
- 24N. MasonM
- 20Eisa PalangiM
- 11Y. BoliF
- 9João PedroF
- 15K. Al-ObaidlyM
- 12Ibrahim MasoudF
- 28A. AddaiF
- 74S. Al AbbasiG
- 66A. Q. Ayman Mohamed A.D
- 2Nasir BakshD
- 96Ataa JaberM
- 42Yaseen LafridD
- 18Mohamed MushrinnM
Form going into Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC
Al-Sailiya
Stars League
- L0-5away to Al Ahli Doha10 October 2026
Qatar SC
Stars League
- L0-3Al-Rayyan SC9 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Al-Sailiya | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 33 | -24 | 1 |
| 11 | Qatar SC | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al-Sailiya vs Qatar SC
- 17 January 2026Al-Sailiya 2–1 Qatar SCStars League
- 21 August 2025Qatar SC 2–0 Al-SailiyaStars League
- 21 February 2023Qatar SC 1–1 Al-SailiyaStars League
- 7 October 2022Al-Sailiya 0–2 Qatar SCQSL Cup
- 15 August 2022Al-Sailiya 1–2 Qatar SCStars League
- 25 February 2022Al-Sailiya 1–1 Qatar SCStars League
Leading scorers: Al-Sailiya and Qatar SC
Al-Sailiya
No player in Stars League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Qatar SC
GoalsAssists
- João Pedro41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Sailiya and Qatar SC drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Qatar SC at 45% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Niall Mason 34' for Qatar SC, Joao Pedro 51' for Qatar SC, Younès Belhanda 82' for Al-Sailiya, Joselu 90+5' for Al-Sailiya. On expected goals it finished 1.59–0.69.
How the call on Al-Sailiya v Qatar SC has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 32% / 27% / 41% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 30% / 25% / 45%: the biggest move is Qatar SC's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Al-Sailiya win30%▼ −2
- Draw25%▼ −2
- Qatar SC win45%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.