Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets A-League prediction & result
Final score: Central Coast Mariners 2-2 Newcastle Jets.
Before kick-off the model made it 29% Central Coast Mariners, 23% draw, 48% Newcastle Jets — fair odds of 3.45, 4.35 and 2.08.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Newcastle Jets at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets
Line-ups
- 30Andrew RedmayneG
- 15Storm RouxD
- 3Diesel HerringtonD
- 12Noah MccannD
- 5Lucas MauragisD
- 72Ali AuglahM
- 6Haine EamesM
- 8Chris DonnellM
- 39Alexander BoltonM
- 37Bailey BrandtmanF
- 9Oliver LavaleF
- 45Jesse MantellM
- 22Arthur De LimaM
- 51Ty MckibbinM
- 43Luke BecvinovskiF
- 17Presley OrtizF
- 50Jai AjanovicG
- 41Shumba MutokoyiD
- 1James Nicholas DelianovG
- 22Joel BertolissioD
- 5Joe ShaughnessyD
- 39Thomas Kevin AquilinaD
- 23Daniel WilmeringD
- 14Max BurgessM
- 11Joe LolleyM
- 28Will DobsonM
- 27Julian RecchiaM
- 43Xavier BertoncelloM
- 8Patrick WoodF
- 6Zane SchreiberM
- 10Zach CloughM
- 64Jesse HillF
- 9Nikolaos VergosF
- 17Ethan DebonoF
- 40Jordan BaylisG
- 2Alex GrantD
Form going into Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
No earlier matches on record this season.
Newcastle Jets
All competitions we cover
- L1-3Gamba Osaka13 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
A-League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Newcastle Jets | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets
- 25 April 2026Newcastle Jets 4–0 Central Coast MarinersA-League
- 28 February 2026Central Coast Mariners 0–0 Newcastle JetsA-League
- 19 October 2025Central Coast Mariners 3–2 Newcastle JetsA-League
- 12 April 2025Newcastle Jets 6–0 Central Coast MarinersA-League
- 1 February 2025Central Coast Mariners 2–2 Newcastle JetsA-League
- 22 November 2024Newcastle Jets 1–2 Central Coast MarinersA-League
Leading scorers: Central Coast Mariners and Newcastle Jets
Central Coast Mariners
GoalsAssists
- O. Lavale30
Newcastle Jets
No player in A-League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Central Coast Mariners and Newcastle Jets drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Newcastle Jets at 48% and given a draw 23%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: A. Auglah (penalty) 11' for Central Coast Mariners, P. Wood 49' for Newcastle Jets, O. Lavale (penalty) 60' for Central Coast Mariners, O. Lavale (own goal) 78' for Newcastle Jets.
How the call on Central Coast Mariners v Newcastle Jets has moved
First published on 3 Oct at 30% / 26% / 44% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 29% / 23% / 48%: the biggest move is Newcastle Jets's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Central Coast Mariners win29%▼ −1
- Draw23%▼ −3
- Newcastle Jets win48%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.