Al Shahaniya vs Al-Arabi SC Stars League prediction & result
Final score: Al Shahaniya 0-6 Al-Arabi SC.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Al Shahaniya, 27% draw, 42% Al-Arabi SC — fair odds of 3.23, 3.70 and 2.38.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Al-Arabi SC at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al Shahaniya vs Al-Arabi SC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 99Shehab EllethyG
- 19Abdulla Al SulaitiD
- 22S. van BeekD
- 5MuniesaD
- 32Khalid MuftahD
- 6Álvaro SanzM
- 27I. DialloM
- 21Mohamed SuragM
- 11Jawad El JemiliM
- 9A. TraoréM
- 81Lucas Gabriel Ribeiro FirmoF
- 31Z. ŠarlijaD
- 20Ali QadryM
- 88Moameen MutasemM
- 8A. MeherziM
- 16Mohamed AbdallahG
- 77Yousef Hani BallanD
- 3Bahaa EllithiD
- 17Abdulrahman Fahmi MoustafaF
- 4Mohamed SayyarM
- 31Jasem Al HailG
- 22K. BauobidaD
- 5SimoD
- 25A. PérezD
- 2Marwan HassanD
- 8Ahmed FathiM
- 17J. VeretoutM
- 6O. TannaneM
- 7Pablo SarabiaM
- 80I. LihadjiM
- 14M. OlungaF
- 9Mohamed GoudaF
- 33Q. El HarounG
- 19Gueye LayeD
- 11Lotfi MadjerF
- 20A. MahajnaD
- 44Hassan MohamadM
- 98J. MonegalM
- 99João PedroM
- 30Salem Al HajriM
Form going into Al Shahaniya vs Al-Arabi SC
Al Shahaniya
Stars League
- W1-0Lusail City10 October 2026
Al-Arabi SC
Stars League
- W3-2away to Al Sadd9 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Stars League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Al Shahaniya | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 10 |
| 4 | Al-Arabi SC | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al Shahaniya vs Al-Arabi SC
- 3 April 2026Al Shahaniya 0–2 Al-Arabi SCStars League
- 13 February 2026Al Shahaniya 0–2 Al-Arabi SCEmir Cup
- 31 October 2025Al-Arabi SC 2–0 Al ShahaniyaStars League
- 10 January 2025Al-Arabi SC 3–1 Al ShahaniyaStars League
- 4 October 2024Al-Arabi SC 2–0 Al ShahaniyaQSL Cup
Leading scorers: Al Shahaniya and Al-Arabi SC
Al Shahaniya
GoalsAssists
- A. Traoré40
Al-Arabi SC
GoalsAssists
- Pablo Sarabia60
- O. Tannane33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Arabi SC won 6–0 at Al Shahaniya. The model had made a win for Al-Arabi SC its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Jordan Veretout 40' for Al-Arabi SC, Pablo Sarabia (penalty) 45+4' for Al-Arabi SC, Oussama Tannane 50' for Al-Arabi SC, Pablo Sarabia 64' for Al-Arabi SC, Pablo Sarabia 72' for Al-Arabi SC, Youssef snana 89' for Al-Arabi SC. On expected goals it finished 1.86–3.25.
How the call on Al Shahaniya v Al-Arabi SC has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 32% / 28% / 40% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 31% / 27% / 42%: the biggest move is Al-Arabi SC's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Al Shahaniya win31%▼ −1
- Draw27%▼ −1
- Al-Arabi SC win42%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.