Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah AFC Champions League Elite prediction & result
Final score: Al-Wasl FC 1-3 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Before kick-off the model made it 32% Al-Wasl FC, 25% draw, 43% Al-Ahli Jeddah — fair odds of 3.13, 4.00 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All AFC Champions League Elite predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Al-Ahli Jeddah at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 23D. HorkašG
- 79Pedro MalheiroD
- 4S. BouftiniD
- 34AdryelsonD
- 16HugoD
- 6S. SidibeM
- 5A. PopoolaM
- 30B. PalaciosM
- 31N. GiménezM
- 19SerginhoM
- 9M. TaremiF
- 15S. IvkovićD
- 17Suhail AbdullaG
- 77Leandro SpadacioF
- 10Fábio LimaF
- 20SaldanhaF
- 8Yahia NaderM
- 21Cameron PuertasM
- 96Renato JúniorF
- 14RodrigoD
- 1Abdulrahman Al SanbiG
- 15Saeed BaattiaD
- 28M. DemiralD
- 3IbañezD
- 31Saad YaslamD
- 6V. Atangana EdoaM
- 30Ziyad Al JohaniM
- 7TrincãoM
- 8E. SpertsyanM
- 47Waheb SalehM
- 17I. ToneyF
- 9Feras Al BrikanF
- 5Mohammed BakorD
- 21Abdullah RadifF
- 20Matheus GonçalvesF
- 46Rayane HamidouD
- 4Makaya Ibrahima DiabyM
- 19A. BondarenkoM
- 11Meshal Al MutairiF
- 62Abdullah AbdoG
Form going into Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Wasl FC
AFC Champions League Elite
- L1-2away to Al-Qadisiyah FC14 September 2026
Al-Ahli Jeddah
AFC Champions League Elite
- D1-1Pakhtakor14 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
AFC Champions League Elite table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Al-Wasl FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Al-Wasl FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
- 30 September 2024Al-Wasl FC 0–2 Al-Ahli JeddahAFC Champions League Elite
Leading scorers: Al-Wasl FC and Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Wasl FC
GoalsAssists
- Pedro Malheiro21
Al-Ahli Jeddah
No player in AFC Champions League Elite's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Al-Ahli Jeddah won 3–1 at Al-Wasl FC. The model had made a win for Al-Ahli Jeddah its most likely outcome, at 43%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Roger Ibañez 20' for Al-Ahli Jeddah, Pedro Jorge Gonçalves Malheiro 45+3' for Al-Wasl FC, Francisco Trincão 58' for Al-Ahli Jeddah, Firas Al-Buraikan 90+1' for Al-Ahli Jeddah. On expected goals it finished 1.04–1.38.
How the call on Al-Wasl FC v Al-Ahli Jeddah has moved
First published on 28 Sep at 34% / 27% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 32% / 25% / 43%: the biggest move is Al-Ahli Jeddah's chance of winning, up 4 points.
- Al-Wasl FC win32%▼ −2
- Draw25%▼ −2
- Al-Ahli Jeddah win43%▲ +4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.