29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Leganes vs Eldense Segunda División prediction & result

Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganes
Full time1 0

Final score: Leganes 1-0 Eldense.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Leganes, 28% draw, 27% Eldense — fair odds of 2.22, 3.57 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Leganes at 45% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Leganes vs Eldense

Leganes

  • W1-0away to Oviedo22 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Girona16 August 2026

Eldense

  • D2-2Cadiz22 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Almeria17 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Leganes52213308
16Eldense512236-35

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Leganes vs Eldense

  • 5 May 2024Eldense 1–2 LeganesSegunda División
  • 10 December 2023Leganes 1–1 EldenseSegunda División
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.