Sabadell vs Almeria Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Sabadell 1-0 Almeria.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Sabadell, 33% draw, 32% Almeria — fair odds of 2.86, 3.03 and 3.13. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Sabadell at 35% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Sabadell vs Almeria
Sabadell
- D0-0away to Castellón23 August 2026
- D0-0away to Sporting Gijon17 August 2026
Almeria
- L0-1away to Tenerife23 August 2026
- W3-0Eldense17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sabadell | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Almeria | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sabadell vs Almeria
- 24 January 2021Almeria 2–2 SabadellSegunda División
- 5 November 2020Sabadell 1–2 AlmeriaSegunda División
Leading scorers: Sabadell and Almeria
Sabadell
- N. Gioacchini3 goals
Almeria
- B. Cipenga1 goals3 assists
- Léo Baptistão1 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.