Sabadell vs Almeria Segunda División prediction & result
Final score: Sabadell 1-0 Almeria.
Before kick-off the model made it 35% Sabadell, 33% draw, 32% Almeria — fair odds of 2.86, 3.03 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Sabadell at 35%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sabadell vs Almeria
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1D. FuoliG
- 27J. CatalaD
- 14O. SanzD
- 5BonaldoD
- 4M. CodinaD
- 7T. RipollM
- 22Q. LiameedM
- 20A. Orriols CerarolsM
- 8P. PonsM
- 23J. PriegoF
- 16N. GioacchiniF
- 13J. OrtegaG
- 31M. EstevezG
- 2PipaD
- 15J. C. Lazaro CerveraD
- 19Y. RahmaniF
- 24E. Aguilar ElizaldeM
- 30X. MorenoM
- 17A. CosciaF
- 10M. A. Ramirez CarrascoF
- 1A. FernandezG
- 22D. ChirinoD
- 5J. PulidoD
- 18F. BoniniD
- 3A. MunozD
- 29S. DzodicM
- 6M. VesgaM
- 23A. EmbarbaM
- 10N. MelamedM
- 7J. MorcilloM
- 24M. de la FuenteF
- 13F. MartinezG
- 30J. LopezG
- 19Rodrigo ElyD
- 21ChumiD
- 2M. LunaD
- 4N. MonteD
- 33Q. JunyentM
- 20A. SolaM
- 17B. CipengaM
Form going into Sabadell vs Almeria
Sabadell
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Castellón23 August 2026
- D0-0away to Sporting Gijon17 August 2026
Almeria
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Tenerife23 August 2026
- W3-0Eldense17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Sabadell | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 1 | Almeria | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 11 | +15 | 32 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sabadell vs Almeria
- 24 January 2021Almeria 2–2 SabadellSegunda División
- 5 November 2020Sabadell 1–2 AlmeriaSegunda División
Leading scorers: Sabadell and Almeria
Sabadell
No player in Segunda División's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Almeria
GoalsAssists
- Miguel de la Fuente91
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Sabadell beat Almeria 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Sabadell at 35%. The goal: N. Gioacchini 53' for Sabadell. On expected goals it finished 1.89–0.79.