Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski Premijer Liga prediction & result
Final score: Sloga Doboj 2-6 Zrinjski.
Before kick-off the model made it 18% Sloga Doboj, 27% draw, 55% Zrinjski — fair odds of 5.56, 3.70 and 1.82.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Zrinjski at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 8 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 1P. Garcia
- 2J. Celikovic
- 3R. Corral
- 8F. Ferreiroa
- 9J. Cueto
- 11Ferni
- 13D. Savic
- 22Chuca
- 23Dani Molina
- 28M. Milanovic
- 92T. Jovic
- 25B. Pavlovic
- 4N. Bozickovic
- 7J. Bolivar
- 19S. Damjanic
- 26D. Koprivica
- 29N. Pejovic
- 33J. Kvesic
- 44M. Savic
- 55O. Seslak
- 18G. Karacic
- 19M. Vranjkovic
- 4H. Barisic
- 15K. Stapic
- 12P. Mamic
- 20A. Ivancic
- 6I. Savic
- 25M. Cuze
- 77K. Abramovic
- 17A. Ilic
- 99N. Bilbija
- 31Z. Subaric
- 44A. Djakovic
- 40B. Curdo
- 10M. Cuic
- 24T. Palic
- 80H. Ljukovac
- 42M. Cavar
- 8I. Vidovic
- 11T. Juric
Form going into Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski
Sloga Doboj
No earlier matches on record this season.
Zrinjski
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Valur Reykjavik30 July 2026
- L0-1away to Valur Reykjavik23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premijer Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sloga Doboj | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
| 1 | Zrinjski | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 34 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sloga Doboj vs Zrinjski
- 18 April 2026Sloga Doboj 0–3 ZrinjskiPremijer Liga
- 6 February 2026Zrinjski 1–0 Sloga DobojPremijer Liga
- 18 October 2025Sloga Doboj 0–1 ZrinjskiPremijer Liga
- 17 September 2025Zrinjski 3–0 Sloga DobojPremijer Liga
- 23 April 2025Sloga Doboj 0–4 ZrinjskiPremijer Liga
Leading scorers: Sloga Doboj and Zrinjski
Sloga Doboj
No player in Premijer Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Zrinjski
GoalsAssists
- A. Ilic31
- N. Bilbija31
- M. Ćuže20
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Zrinjski won 6–2 at Sloga Doboj. The model had made a win for Zrinjski its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. Ilic 27' for Zrinjski, M. Cuze 40' for Zrinjski, N. Bilbija 53' for Zrinjski, J. Cueto 61' for Sloga Doboj, J. Cueto 63' for Sloga Doboj, A. Ilic 71' for Zrinjski, M. Cuze 82' for Zrinjski, M. Cuze 89' for Zrinjski.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sloga Doboj a 64.5% chance to finish in the bottom three: 56.8% after a win, 62.6% after a draw, 67.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 67.6%, 3.1 points higher than before the match.
For Zrinjski the question was the chance to win the league, 37.4% going in: 39.8% after a win, 34.7% after a draw, 31.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 39.8%, 2.4 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Premijer Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Sloga Doboj v Zrinjski has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 21% / 30% / 49% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 18% / 27% / 55%: the biggest move is Zrinjski's chance of winning, up 6 points.
- Sloga Doboj win18%▼ −3
- Draw27%▼ −3
- Zrinjski win55%▲ +6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.