17 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock 3. Liga prediction & result

New Tivoli, Aachen
Referee: Eric-Dominic Weisbach
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Alemannia Aachen 2-0 Hansa Rostock.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Alemannia Aachen, 25% draw, 30% Hansa Rostock — fair odds of 2.22, 4.00 and 3.33.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Alemannia Aachen at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Alemannia Aachen99%Draw1%Hansa Rostock0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Louis Kösterassist: Mika Schroers
8'
⚽Lukas Scepanik
26'
27'
David Kopacz
Dylan Leonard
28'
45'
🔁Leon Dajakuout: Maximilian Krauss
Petros Bagalianis
49'
56'
Benno Dietze
Louis Köster
60'
65'
🔁Benno Dietzeout: Andreas Voglsammer
65'
🔁David Kopaczout: Yannick Michaelis
65'
🔁Ouassim Karadaout: Jonas Dirkner
🔁Louis Kösterout: Daniel Starodid
68'
🔁Lukas Scepanikout: Fabio Torsiello
72'
🔁Matti Wagnerout: Kacper Koscierski
72'
Georg Ermolaev
74'
84'
🔁Niklas Kolleout: Milosz Brzozowski
Danilo Wiebe
85'
🔁Mehdi Louneout: meiko waschenbach
87'
🔁Georg Ermolaevout: Ken Eghosa Gideon Izekor
87'
90+3'
André Breitenreiter
90+5'
Jonas Dirkner

Match stats — Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock

42%Possession58%
14Shots9
8On target3
2Corners3

Line-ups

Alemannia Aachen 3-4-3
  • 1M. RiemannG
  • 37J. da Silva KialaD
  • 4D. LeonardD
  • 2P. BagalianisD
  • 7L. ScepanikM
  • 28D. WiebeM
  • 10M. LouneM
  • 3Matti WagnerM
  • 8L. KösterF
  • 27M. SchröersF
  • 20Georg ErmolaevF
Substitutes
  • 9D. StarodidF
  • 17F. TorsielloF
  • 11M. WäschenbachM
  • 15M. HanrathsD
  • 19N. BitumazalaM
  • 23S. BajićG
  • 18Ken IzekorF
  • 29K. KoscierskiD
  • 30Justin-Kai von der HitzD
Coach: M. Selimbegovic
Hansa Rostock 4-2-3-1
  • 1L. UnbehaunG
  • 3F. BohnertD
  • 15A. GürleyenD
  • 17F. CarstensD
  • 32N. KölleD
  • 42B. DietzeM
  • 4K. FatkićM
  • 8Ouassim KaradaM
  • 27D. KopaczM
  • 43L. DajakuM
  • 11E. HoltenF
Substitutes
  • 9A. VoglsammerF
  • 37M. BrzozowskiM
  • 6J. DirknerM
  • 35M. KraußM
  • 7B. LennemannF
  • 41Y. MichaelisF
  • 25P. KlewinG
  • 23F. PfanneD
  • 22L. ReichardtD
Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Form going into Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock

Alemannia Aachen

3. Liga

  • L0-3away to SV Wehen14 October 2026

Hansa Rostock

3. Liga

  • L0-2SV Meppen13 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
7Alemannia Aachen136251919020
10Hansa Rostock135442222019

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock

  • 2 May 2026Alemannia Aachen 1–1 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
  • 7 December 2025Hansa Rostock 2–2 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
  • 16 March 2025Alemannia Aachen 2–1 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
  • 19 October 2024Hansa Rostock 1–2 Alemannia Aachen3. Liga
  • 12 April 2013Alemannia Aachen 3–4 Hansa Rostock3. Liga

Leading scorers: Alemannia Aachen and Hansa Rostock

Alemannia Aachen

No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 19 league goals as a side.

Hansa Rostock

GoalsAssists

  • A. Voglsammer41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Alemannia Aachen beat Hansa Rostock 2–0. The model had made a win for Alemannia Aachen its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Louis Köster 8' for Alemannia Aachen, Lukas Scepanik 26' for Alemannia Aachen. Sent off: Jonas Dirkner (Hansa Rostock) 90+5'.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Alemannia Aachen a 13.1% chance to finish in the top four: 15.7% after a win, 10.9% after a draw, 8.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.7%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.

For Hansa Rostock the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 24.6% going in: 31.8% after a win, 23.2% after a draw, 20.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 20.3%, 4.3 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Alemannia Aachen v Hansa Rostock has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 46% / 27% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 45% / 25% / 30%: the biggest move is Hansa Rostock's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Alemannia Aachen win45%▼ −1
  2. Draw25%▼ −2
  3. Hansa Rostock win30%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.