17 October 2026, 12:00 UTC

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster 3. Liga prediction & result

WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach
Referee: Simon Schreiner
Full time3 – 2

Final score: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3-2 Preußen Münster.

Before kick-off the model made it 28% SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, 28% draw, 44% Preußen Münster — fair odds of 3.57, 3.57 and 2.27.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Preußen Münster at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach96%Draw4%Preußen Münster0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

16'
⚽Felix Higlassist: Torge Paetow
🔁Christian Mistlout: Franz Bleicher
32'
Franz Bleicher
36'
39'
Lucas Christopher Zeller
Tim Rossmann
45'
45+1'
⚽Felix Higlassist: Lucas Christopher Zeller
⚽Tim Rossmannassist: Loris Maier
61'
66'
🔁Lucas Christopher Zellerout: Antonio Tikvić
66'
🔁Charalampos Makridisout: Samuel Moïse Althaus
66'
🔁Wesley Adehout: Leon Tasov
66'
🔁Joshua Meesout: Montell Ndikom
⚽Fabian Eisele
68'
68'
Antonio Tikvić
🔁Tim Rossmannout: Leon Maier
78'
🔁Franz Bleicherout: Lukas Stoppel
78'
⚽Fabian Eisele
83'
🔁Niklas Pollexout: Nikos Zografakis
86'
86'
🔁Jakob Benjamin Korteout: Marvin Schulz

Match stats — SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster

47%Possession53%
10Shots16
5On target8
4Corners4

Line-ups

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. ReuleG
  • 8Jan Elias RahnD
  • 15A. AidonisD
  • 25A. NurajD
  • 21L. MolinariD
  • 6C. MistlM
  • 16M. KundeM
  • 27Loris MaierM
  • 18N. PollexM
  • 11T. RossmannM
  • 23F. EiseleF
Substitutes
  • 9Marlon Freddy FaßF
  • 36M. GashiD
  • 20Leon MaierD
  • 33T. SchulzG
  • 4F. BleicherM
  • 37L. SchürerF
  • 10L. StoppelM
  • 19M. UhlD
  • 13N. ZografakisF
Coach: Pascal Reinhardt
Preußen Münster 5-4-1
  • 1M. BehrensG
  • 2L. KolbeD
  • 16T. PaetowD
  • 5L. ZellerD
  • 3T. DietrichD
  • 36N. VarelmannD
  • 14C. MakridisM
  • 27J. KorteM
  • 6Wesley AdehM
  • 8J. MeesM
  • 33F. HiglF
Substitutes
  • 44Samuel Moïse AlthausM
  • 19M. DemirhanM
  • 38M. HarsmanG
  • 28Montell NdikomF
  • 21R. PreißingerM
  • 43R. RöschM
  • 30M. SchulzM
  • 29Leon TasovF
  • 4A. TikvićD
Coach: Thomas Wörle

Form going into SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

3. Liga

  • D2-2away to FC Viktoria Köln14 October 2026

Preußen Münster

3. Liga

  • L1-2Fortuna Düsseldorf14 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

3. Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
18SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach133371329-1612
14Preußen Münster134362125-415

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster

  • 10 June 2020SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 0–0 Preussen Munster3. Liga
  • 19 October 2019Preussen Munster 1–1 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga
  • 20 April 2019Preussen Munster 1–0 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach3. Liga
  • 11 November 2018SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 3–1 Preussen Munster3. Liga
  • 12 May 2018SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2–2 Preussen Munster3. Liga

Leading scorers: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Preußen Münster

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach

No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.

Preußen Münster

GoalsAssists

  • F. Higl41
  • Montell Ndikom40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach beat Preußen Münster 3–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Preußen Münster at 44% and given a win for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 28%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Felix Higl 16' for Preußen Münster, Felix Higl 45+1' for Preußen Münster, Tim Rossmann 61' for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, Fabian Eisele 68' for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, Fabian Eisele 83' for SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach a 62.7% chance to finish in the bottom three: 55.3% after a win, 61.2% after a draw, 68.1% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 55.3%, 7.4 points lower than before the match.

For Preußen Münster the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 21.3% going in: 24.0% after a win, 20.2% after a draw, 16.5% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 16.5%, 4.8 points lower than before the match.

Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v Preußen Münster has moved

First published on 3 Oct at 32% / 31% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 28% / 28% / 44%: the biggest move is Preußen Münster's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win28%▼ −4
  2. Draw28%▼ −3
  3. Preußen Münster win44%▲ +7

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.