1 November 2026, 14:00 UTC

Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje 1. SNL prediction & result

Mestni stadion Fazanerija, Murska Sobota
Referee: Z. Jazbec
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Mura 0-0 Brinje-Grosuplje.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Mura, 26% draw, 29% Brinje-Grosuplje — fair odds of 2.22, 3.85 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Mura at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Mura5%Draw92%Brinje-Grosuplje3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

33'
M. Roric
•M. Ascic
38'
39'
S. Matjaz
🔁S. Buticout: P. Pfeifer
54'
59'
N. Jovicevic
65'
🔁N. Jovicevicout: N. Koren
🔁M. Ascicout: R. Caks
69'
A. Zeljkovic
72'
76'
🔁V. Vlahovicout: G. Kurez
76'
🔁T. Levanicout: E. Milosevic
76'
🔁M. Roricout: A. Zlatkov
85'
🔁H. Vuckicout: J. Kovac
🔁A. Zalaznikout: B. Dimitrov
88'
🔁Z. Petrovicout: F. Sana
88'
M. Matic
89'

Form going into Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje

Mura

1. SNL

  • D1-1away to Radomlje27 October 2026
  • D0-0Nafta17 October 2026
  • D3-3away to Olimpija Ljubljana10 October 2026

Brinje-Grosuplje

1. SNL

  • D0-0Bravo29 October 2026
  • L0-5away to Koper18 October 2026
  • L1-2Maribor11 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

1. SNL table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Mura152851526-1114
8Brinje-Grosuplje154471625-916

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Mura vs Brinje-Grosuplje

  • 16 August 2026Brinje-Grosuplje 1–2 Mura1. SNL

The result against the call

Mura and Brinje-Grosuplje drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Mura at 45% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Mura a 22.2% chance to finish in the bottom one: 16.6% after a win, 23.2% after a draw, 29.2% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 23.2%, 1 points higher than before the match.

For Brinje-Grosuplje the question was the chance to finish in the bottom one, 21.6% going in: 14.0% after a win, 21.7% after a draw, 26.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 21.7%.

Read from our 1. SNL season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Mura v Brinje-Grosuplje has moved

First published on 18 Oct at 40% / 26% / 34% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 45% / 26% / 29%: the biggest move is Mura's chance of winning, up 5 points.

  1. Mura win45%▲ +5
  2. Draw26%=
  3. Brinje-Grosuplje win29%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.