6 November 2026, 12:00 UTC

Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Imam Khomeini, Arak
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Aluminium Arak 1-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak.

Before kick-off the model made it 65% Aluminium Arak, 20% draw, 15% Mes Shahr-e Babak — fair odds of 1.54, 5.00 and 6.67.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Aluminium Arak at 65%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Aluminium Arak97%Draw3%Mes Shahr-e Babak0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

A. Vatandoust
4'
🔁A. Vatandoustout: A. Karimi
25'
🔁R. Jabirehout: E. Khodadadian
55'
🔁A. Ghanbariout: M. Bagheri
55'
🔁B. Goudarziout: S. Sadeghi
55'
59'
🔁A. Roustaeiout: A. Valizadeh
⚽S. Bozorgassist: M. Mahdavi
75'
🔁E. Khodadadianout: R. Zolfipour
81'
86'
🔁G. Pouriaout: E. Navabifar
86'
🔁M. Raoufimaneshout: S. Jafari
86'
🔁A. Karbalaeiout: M. Abdollahi
A. Nouri
90+1'

Line-ups

Aluminium Arak
  • 1M. Khalifeh
  • 11A. Vatandoust
  • 44S. Jafarikia
  • 15M. Mousavi
  • 13M. Mahdavi
  • 6M. Motlaghzadeh
  • 5A. Nouri
  • 2B. Goudarzi
  • 8A. Ghanbari
  • 9S. Bozorg
  • 10R. Jabireh
Substitutes
  • 7A. Sadeghi
  • 12M. Tayefeh
  • 14A. Karimi
  • 16M. Bagheri
  • 19A. Rezaei
  • 20S. Shahabbasi
  • 23E. Khodadadian
  • 66S. Kamalvand
  • 77R. Zolfipour
Mes Shahr-e Babak
  • 1M. Ghavidel
  • 21M. Azhir
  • 17A. Karbalaei
  • 3M. Mohammadi
  • 4F. Gerami
  • 77M. Sefid
  • 6M. Raoufimanesh
  • 8M. Tajik
  • 71G. Pouria
  • 19A. Ghezel
  • 9A. Roustaei
Substitutes
  • 2M. Tarhani
  • 7M. J. Pouravaz
  • 10A. Valizadeh
  • 13M. Naderpour
  • 37M. Vahabzadeh
  • 38M. Jannia
  • 40S. Jafari
  • 69A. Jabbari
  • 70E. Navabifar

Form going into Aluminium Arak vs Mes Shahr-e Babak

Aluminium Arak

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • L0-1away to Foolad FC30 October 2026
  • D0-0ZOB Ahan23 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Sanat Naft17 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Fajr Sepasi13 October 2026

Mes Shahr-e Babak

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • L1-3Paykan31 October 2026
  • L0-4away to Sepahan FC25 October 2026
  • L0-3Persepolis FC19 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Foolad FC8 October 2026

What these results say

  • Aluminium Arak did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Aluminium Arak conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Mes Shahr-e Babak did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Mes Shahr-e Babak conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Every one of these 4 matches for Mes Shahr-e Babak had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Aluminium Arak12453129+317
18Mes Shahr-e Babak12057723-165

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

Aluminium Arak beat Mes Shahr-e Babak 1–0. The model had made a win for Aluminium Arak its most likely outcome, at 65%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goal: S. Bozorg 75' for Aluminium Arak.

How the call on Aluminium Arak v Mes Shahr-e Babak has moved

First published on 23 Oct at 61% / 22% / 17% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 65% / 20% / 15%: the biggest move is Aluminium Arak's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Aluminium Arak win65%▲ +4
  2. Draw20%▼ −2
  3. Mes Shahr-e Babak win15%▼ −2

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.