6 November 2026, 13:00 UTC

Persepolis FC vs Fajr Sepasi Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Azadi Stadium, Tehran
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Persepolis FC 1-2 Fajr Sepasi.

Before kick-off the model made it 67% Persepolis FC, 19% draw, 14% Fajr Sepasi — fair odds of 1.49, 5.26 and 7.14.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Persepolis FC at 67%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

15'
⚽E. Pahlevanassist: A. Moredi
32'
A. Moredi
37'
M. Nasiri
🔁P. Latififarout: A. Mahmoudi
46'
59'
⚽A. Morediassist: Y. Rostami
🔁A. Alipourout: I. Sergeev
60'
65'
🔁A. Morediout: H. Nokhodkar
65'
🔁M. Bahraminejadout: S. Fadakar
⚽M. Rigi (OG)
69'
🔁M. Omriout: A. Jalali
69'
🔁E. Majidout: O. Urunov
69'
78'
🔁A. Vosoughifardout: A. Helichi
78'
🔁M. Rigiout: S. Mehri
T. Bifouma
79'
A. Mahmoudi
85'
🔁T. Bifoumaout: P. Shahrabadi
90+2'
90+4'
🔁E. Pahlevanout: A. Shabani

Line-ups

Persepolis FC
  • 1P. Niazmand
  • 20E. Majid
  • 89D. Eiri
  • 4M. Zare
  • 8M. Tikdari
  • 10M. Mohebi
  • 99P. Latififar
  • 66P. Pourali
  • 23T. Bifouma
  • 9A. Alipour
  • 7M. Omri
Substitutes
  • 3A. Jalali
  • 5H. Abarghouei
  • 11I. Sergeev
  • 21P. Shahrabadi
  • 22A. Rafiei
  • 33D. Gera
  • 34A. Mahmoudi
  • 45M. Sadeghi
  • 63P. Esmi
Fajr Sepasi
  • 1A. Gholamzadeh
  • 11M. Moradi
  • 12S. Tavakoli
  • 5M. Nasiri
  • 2A. Vosoughifard
  • 17H. Shahabi
  • 16M. Bahraminejad
  • 6M. Rigi
  • 29A. Moredi
  • 10Y. Rostami
  • 7E. Pahlevan
Substitutes
  • 39P. Manouchehri
  • 3A. Helichi
  • 4S. Mehri
  • 18M. Rezaei
  • 20S. Norouzi
  • 70H. Nokhodkar
  • 76A. Shabani
  • 77S. Fadakar
  • 80E. Falamarzi

Form going into Persepolis FC vs Fajr Sepasi

Persepolis FC

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • W1-0away to Nassaji Mazandaran31 October 2026
  • L0-1Foolad FC25 October 2026
  • W3-0away to Mes Shahr-e Babak19 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Kheybar Khorramabad14 October 2026

Fajr Sepasi

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • D2-2away to Nassaji Mazandaran25 October 2026
  • W2-0Paykan19 October 2026
  • W2-1Aluminium Arak13 October 2026
  • L1-6away to Sepahan FC8 October 2026

What these results say

  • Persepolis FC kept a clean sheet in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Persepolis FC had two goals or fewer.
  • Fajr Sepasi scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Fajr Sepasi conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • 3 of these 4 matches for Fajr Sepasi had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Persepolis FC12723207+1323
7Fajr Sepasi114521213-117

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Persepolis FC vs Fajr Sepasi

  • 18 January 2026Fajr Sepasi 2–1 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 18 August 2025Persepolis FC 1–1 Fajr SepasiPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 2 June 2022Fajr Sepasi 0–1 Persepolis FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 13 January 2022Persepolis FC 1–0 Fajr SepasiPersian Gulf Pro League

Leading scorers: Persepolis FC and Fajr Sepasi

Persepolis FC

GoalsAssists

  • I. Sergeev10

Fajr Sepasi

No player in Persian Gulf Pro League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Fajr Sepasi won 2–1 at Persepolis FC. The model had leaned towards a win for Persepolis FC at 67% and given a win for Fajr Sepasi 14%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goals: E. Pahlevan 15' for Fajr Sepasi, A. Moredi 59' for Fajr Sepasi, M. Rigi (own goal) 69' for Persepolis FC.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Persepolis FC a 78.1% chance to finish in the top two: 98.7% after a win, 31.9% after a draw, 9.0% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 9.0%, 69.1 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Persepolis FC v Fajr Sepasi has moved

First published on 23 Oct at 69% / 18% / 13% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 67% / 19% / 14%: the biggest move is Persepolis FC's chance of winning, down 2 points.

  1. Persepolis FC win67%▼ −2
  2. Draw19%▲ +1
  3. Fajr Sepasi win14%▲ +1

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.