6 November 2026, 12:00 UTC

Sepahan FC vs Malavan Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium, Isfahan
Full time4 – 0

Final score: Sepahan FC 4-0 Malavan.

Before kick-off the model made it 71% Sepahan FC, 18% draw, 11% Malavan — fair odds of 1.41, 5.56 and 9.09.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Sepahan FC at 71%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Sepahan FC99%Draw1%Malavan0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽E. Hajsafi (pen)
7'
10'
🔁F. Jafariout: A. Karimi
16'
A. Afsordeh
⚽A. Rezavandassist: O. Noorafkan
42'
M. Lotfi
45'
A. Hajieydi
45+2'
⚽K. Taheriassist: S. Hosseini
55'
⚽M. Limouchiassist: K. Taheri
61'
🔁A. Hajieydiout: G. Sabet Imani
70'
🔁M. Lotfiout: A. Habibi
70'
H. Mohammadi
75'
77'
🔁M. Beheshtiout: V. Asgarpour
🔁A. Rezavandout: A. Shafiedoost
78'

Line-ups

Sepahan FC
Coach: Moharram Navidkia
Malavan
Coach: Maziar Zare

Form going into Sepahan FC vs Malavan

Sepahan FC

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • W2-1away to Kheybar Khorramabad30 October 2026
  • W4-0Mes Shahr-e Babak25 October 2026
  • D0-0away to Shams Azar Qazvin18 October 2026
  • W2-1away to ZOB Ahan13 October 2026

Malavan

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • L1-2Chadormalu SC30 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Paykan25 October 2026
  • L1-2Foolad FC13 October 2026
  • D1-1away to Aluminium Arak8 October 2026

What these results say

  • Sepahan FC went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Sepahan FC won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Sepahan FC scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Malavan did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Malavan scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Malavan conceded in every one of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Sepahan FC12822237+1626
15Malavan123361218-610

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Sepahan FC vs Malavan

  • 17 January 2026Sepahan FC 0–0 MalavanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 19 August 2025Malavan 1–1 Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 26 April 2025Malavan 0–0 Sepahan FCHazfi Cup
  • 7 February 2025Malavan 1–1 Sepahan FCPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 13 September 2024Sepahan FC 1–0 MalavanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 16 May 2024Sepahan FC 1–0 MalavanHazfi Cup

The result against the call

Sepahan FC beat Malavan 4–0. The model had made a win for Sepahan FC its most likely outcome, at 71%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: E. Hajsafi (penalty) 7' for Sepahan FC, A. Rezavand 42' for Sepahan FC, K. Taheri 55' for Sepahan FC, M. Limouchi 61' for Sepahan FC.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Sepahan FC a 55.3% chance to finish in the top two: 67.8% after a win, 13.8% after a draw, 2.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 67.8%, 12.5 points higher than before the match.

For Malavan the question was the chance to finish in the bottom four, 27.3% going in: 0.0% after a win, 6.2% after a draw, 33.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 33.4%, 6.1 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Sepahan FC v Malavan has moved

First published on 23 Oct at 65% / 21% / 14% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 71% / 18% / 11%: the biggest move is Sepahan FC's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. Sepahan FC win71%▲ +6
  2. Draw18%▼ −3
  3. Malavan win11%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.