6 November 2026, 17:00 UTC

Nea Salamis vs Omonia Aradippou 1. Division prediction & result

Ammochostos Stadium, Larnaca
Referee: Menelaos Antoniou, Cyprus
Full time3 – 2

Final score: Nea Salamis 3-2 Omonia Aradippou.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Nea Salamis, 28% draw, 24% Omonia Aradippou — fair odds of 2.08, 3.57 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Nea Salamis at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Nea Salamis4%Draw93%Omonia Aradippou3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

10'
⚽A. El Bouchataoui
🔁K. Iliaout: A. Panagiotou Filiotis
13'
🔁G. Christodoulouout: Aldair
20'
31'
⚽B. Petrovic
42'
B. Petrovic
⚽K. Angielski (pen)assist: K. Angielski
44'
🔁C. Giousisout: P. Louka
46'
🔁K. Angielskiout: D. Poveda
46'
58'
🔁B. Petrovicout: G. Pontikos
58'
🔁S. Lomonacoout: M. Koumouris
62'
A. Christofi
🔁D. Povedaout: C. Evangelou
65'
⚽S. Gonzalez
69'
70'
🔁A. El Bouchataouiout: Mathias Gonzalez
⚽A. Panagiotou Filiotis
81'
85'
🔁J. Izquierdoout: A. Nikolaou
85'
🔁M. Antoniouout: C. Makosso
⚽S. Grandsir
90'
S. Grandsir
90+1'

Line-ups

Nea Salamis 4-2-3-1
  • 1Alberto VaroG
  • 25Konstantinos IliaM
  • 55Sergio GonzálezD
  • 5Alexandros MichaelD
  • 12Andreas DimitrouF
  • 93Brahim KonatéM
  • 6Georgios ChristodoulouM
  • 7Samuel GrandsirM
  • 71Giannis GerolemouM
  • 10Christos GiousisM
  • 19Karol AngielskiF
Substitutes
  • 30Andreas Panayiotou FiliotisD
  • 17Aldair BaldéM
  • 9Darío PovedaF
  • 89Panagiotis LoukaF
  • 34Chrysis EvangelouM
  • 63Dániel KovácsG
  • 4Panagiotis ArtymatasD
  • 24Vasilis LampropoulosD
  • 8Jose ArtilesM
Omonia Aradippou 3-4-1-2
  • 12Živko ŽivkovićG
  • 3Andreas ChristofiD
  • 81Vernon De MarcoD
  • 34DannyD
  • 22Minas AntoniouD
  • 8Achraf El BouchataouiM
  • 6Niko HavelkaM
  • 20Jairo IzquierdoD
  • 14Jeremy Van MullemM
  • 27Sebastián LomónacoF
  • 23Bogdan PetrovićF
Substitutes
  • 7Michalis KoumourisM
  • 9Giorgos PontikosF
  • 41Mathías GonzálezM
  • 25Andreas NikolaouD
  • 77Curtis MakossoF
  • 1Gabriel PereiraG
  • 88Giorgos PapacharalampousG
  • 15Unai GarcíaD
  • 47Andreas PappoulosD

Form going into Nea Salamis vs Omonia Aradippou

Nea Salamis

1. Division

  • L0-1away to Omonia 29is Maiou1 November 2026
  • D0-0Pafos26 October 2026
  • L2-4away to Apollon Limassol17 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Apoel Nicosia10 October 2026

Omonia Aradippou

1. Division

  • L1-2Apoel Nicosia1 November 2026
  • L0-2away to Anorthosis24 October 2026
  • L0-2AEL18 October 2026
  • L0-1away to AEK Larnaca12 October 2026

What these results say

  • Nea Salamis did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Nea Salamis conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Omonia Aradippou did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Omonia Aradippou conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Omonia Aradippou failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Cyprus 1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Nea Salamis92251418-48
13Omonia Aradippou9135713-66

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Nea Salamis vs Omonia Aradippou

  • 7 April 2025Omonia Aradippou 0–2 Nea Salamis1. Division
  • 1 March 2025Nea Salamis 2–3 Omonia Aradippou1. Division
  • 1 December 2024Omonia Aradippou 1–0 Nea Salamis1. Division
  • 17 April 2022Nea Salamis 2–0 Omonia Aradippou2. Division
  • 11 December 2021Omonia Aradippou 1–2 Nea Salamis2. Division
  • 29 July 2020Nea Salamis 0–0 Omonia AradippouFriendlies Clubs

Leading scorers: Nea Salamis and Omonia Aradippou

Nea Salamis

GoalsAssists

  • S. Grandsir30

Omonia Aradippou

No player in 1. Division's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Nea Salamis beat Omonia Aradippou 3–2. The model had made a win for Nea Salamis its most likely outcome, at 48%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: A. El Bouchataoui 10' for Omonia Aradippou, B. Petrovic 31' for Omonia Aradippou, S. Gonzalez 69' for Nea Salamis, A. Panagiotou Filiotis 81' for Nea Salamis, S. Grandsir 90' for Nea Salamis.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Nea Salamis a 27.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 21.4% after a win, 29.3% after a draw, 37.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 21.4%, 5.8 points lower than before the match.

For Omonia Aradippou the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 58.0% going in: 44.9% after a win, 56.1% after a draw, 64.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 64.4%, 6.4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our 1. Division season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Nea Salamis v Omonia Aradippou has moved

First published on 23 Oct at 46% / 27% / 27% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 48% / 28% / 24%: the biggest move is Omonia Aradippou's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Nea Salamis win48%▲ +2
  2. Draw28%▲ +1
  3. Omonia Aradippou win24%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.