23 October 2026, 12:30 UTC

Aluminium Arak vs ZOB Ahan Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result

Imam Khomeini, Arak
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Aluminium Arak 0-0 ZOB Ahan.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% Aluminium Arak, 26% draw, 22% ZOB Ahan — fair odds of 1.92, 3.85 and 4.55.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Aluminium Arak at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Aluminium Arak5%Draw92%ZOB Ahan3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

M. Motlaghzadeh
12'
S. Jafarikia
20'
50'
🔁A. Ghaderiout: S. Hosseini
🔁R. Zolfipourout: B. Goudarzi
56'
🔁R. Jabirehout: S. Bozorg
69'
🔁A. Karimiout: A. Vatandoust
69'
🔁S. Sadeghiout: A. Sadeghi
83'
🔁A. Ghanbariout: S. Kamalvand
83'

Form going into Aluminium Arak vs ZOB Ahan

Aluminium Arak

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • L1-2away to Sanat Naft17 October 2026
  • L1-2away to Fajr Sepasi13 October 2026

ZOB Ahan

Persian Gulf Pro League

  • L1-2Chadormalu SC18 October 2026
  • L1-2Sepahan FC13 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Persian Gulf Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Aluminium Arak12453129+317
14ZOB Ahan12174610-410

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Aluminium Arak vs ZOB Ahan

  • 7 February 2026Aluminium Arak 1–0 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 26 September 2025ZOB Ahan 0–1 Aluminium ArakPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 7 March 2025Aluminium Arak 2–0 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 4 October 2024ZOB Ahan 0–4 Aluminium ArakPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 21 April 2024ZOB Ahan 2–0 Aluminium ArakPersian Gulf Pro League
  • 2 November 2023Aluminium Arak 1–1 ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League

The result against the call

Aluminium Arak and ZOB Ahan drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Aluminium Arak at 52% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave ZOB Ahan a 53.6% chance to finish in the bottom four: 20.2% after a win, 47.8% after a draw, 66.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 47.8%, 5.8 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.