Gol Gohar vs Kheybar Khorramabad Persian Gulf Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Gol Gohar 0-1 Kheybar Khorramabad.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Gol Gohar, 24% draw, 25% Kheybar Khorramabad — fair odds of 1.96, 4.17 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Persian Gulf Pro League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Gol Gohar at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into Gol Gohar vs Kheybar Khorramabad
Gol Gohar
Persian Gulf Pro League
- L0-1away to Esteghlal FC19 October 2026
- W3-0Esteghlal Khuzestan8 October 2026
- W3-2away to Shams Azar Qazvin10 September 2026
Kheybar Khorramabad
Persian Gulf Pro League
- W2-1Esteghlal Khuzestan18 October 2026
- D0-0Persepolis FC14 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Persian Gulf Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Gol Gohar | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 14 |
| 10 | Kheybar Khorramabad | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 14 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Gol Gohar vs Kheybar Khorramabad
- 31 October 2025Kheybar Khorramabad 0–0 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
- 6 March 2025Gol Gohar 2–0 Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League
- 14 February 2025Gol Gohar 0–0 Kheybar KhorramabadHazfi Cup
- 4 October 2024Kheybar Khorramabad 0–0 Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League
- 30 March 2017Gol Gohar 1–0 Kheybar KhorramabadAzadegan League
The result against the call
Kheybar Khorramabad won 1–0 at Gol Gohar. The model had leaned towards a win for Gol Gohar at 51% and given a win for Kheybar Khorramabad 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: A. Farsi 57' for Kheybar Khorramabad. Sent off: A. Ashouri (Gol Gohar) 43'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Kheybar Khorramabad a 3.3% chance to finish in the bottom four: 0.0% after a win, under 1% after a draw, 5.5% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 0.0%, 3.3 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Persian Gulf Pro League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Gol Gohar v Kheybar Khorramabad has moved
First published on 9 Oct at 55% / 22% / 23% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 51% / 24% / 25%: the biggest move is Gol Gohar's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Gol Gohar win51%▼ −4
- Draw24%▲ +2
- Kheybar Khorramabad win25%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.