America Mineiro vs Operario-PR Serie B prediction & result
Final score: America Mineiro 1-0 Operario-PR.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% America Mineiro, 27% draw, 43% Operario-PR — fair odds of 3.33, 3.70 and 2.33.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Operario-PR at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — America Mineiro vs Operario-PR
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 91Bruno BrígidoG
- 4Rafael BarcelosD
- 45Ricardo SilvaD
- 3L. SosaD
- 25T. OstchegaD
- 93J. JiménezM
- 88BarretoM
- 20Paulo VictorM
- 77M. SegoviaM
- 7Guilherme ParedeM
- 9WillianF
- 19WilliamG
- 5F. ElizariM
- 55Otavio GoncalvesM
- 37Cesar Leme Do Nascimento JulioM
- 99Marcelo MacolaF
- 27CássioG
- 30L. MontesD
- 2Emerson SantosD
- 26ManoelD
- 1Elias Martello CurzelG
- 2Mikael DokaD
- 22J. CuenúD
- 43JosephD
- 27Gabriel FelicianoD
- 8J. ZuluagaM
- 5ÍndioM
- 14Hildeberto PereiraM
- 20Vinícius DinizM
- 30Pedro VilhenaM
- 99Caio DantasF
- 4KlausD
- 21BrennoM
- 23Joao GabrielD
- 17Nicolas SchulzD
- 18AndréD
- 11AylonF
- 33VagnerG
- 6MoraesD
- 16MirandaD
Form going into America Mineiro vs Operario-PR
America Mineiro
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Criciuma12 October 2026
- L0-1Fortaleza EC7 October 2026
- L0-2away to Atletico Goianiense3 October 2026
Operario-PR
All competitions we cover
- L0-2Goias11 October 2026
- L1-2Botafogo SP7 October 2026
- L0-3away to Juventude2 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Brazil Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | America Mineiro | 38 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 29 |
| 10 | Operario-PR | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 51 | 50 | +1 | 57 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: America Mineiro vs Operario-PR
- 27 June 2026Operario-PR 1–0 America MineiroSerie B
- 7 September 2025America Mineiro 1–1 Operario-PRSerie B
- 4 May 2025Operario-PR 1–0 America MineiroSerie B
- 24 October 2024Operario-PR 1–0 America MineiroSerie B
- 6 July 2024America Mineiro 2–0 Operario-PRSerie B
Leading scorers: America Mineiro and Operario-PR
America Mineiro
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 27 league goals as a side.
Operario-PR
GoalsAssists
- Boschilia134
- Vinícius Diniz71
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
America Mineiro beat Operario-PR 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Operario-PR at 43% and given a win for America Mineiro 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Guilherme Parede 88' for America Mineiro. On expected goals it finished 1.70–0.69.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.