Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière Jupiler Pro League prediction & result
Final score: Anderlecht 2-1 RAAL La Louvière.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Anderlecht, 24% draw, 45% RAAL La Louvière — fair odds of 3.23, 4.17 and 2.22. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts RAAL La Louvière at 45% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1123 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 26C. CoosemansG
- 79A. MaamarD
- 4G. BianconeD
- 27L. PetrotD
- 6L. AugustinssonD
- 13N. SalibaM
- 55M. KanaM
- 18L. AmbrosM
- 83T. DegreefM
- 61K. NgaM
- 9M. Cvetkovic
- 33M. Seghers
- 32J. HeekerenG
- 24E. LlansanaM
- 62B. VroninksD
- 91A. BertacciniF
- 11O. AntmanF
- 14D. SikanF
- 5M. N'DiayeD
- 50K. BarryD
- 21M. PeanoG
- 18S. DelosD
- 33P. NkoaD
- 4W. FayeD
- 99Y. OkouD
- 5T. LutondaD
- 10M. WadeM
- 48I. CoulibalyM
- 23J. ItoM
- 9E. FiletF
- 11M. IsahF
- 91T. RadeletG
- 22S. GourvilleD
- 25D. LamegoD
- 28B. SoumareM
- 7M. Kovacs
- 27N. NsingiF
- 8S. GueuletteM
- 44M. BoukamirD
- 3N. GillotD
Form going into Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière
Anderlecht
- W1-0away to PAOK6 August 2026
- W3-1Hammarby FF30 July 2026
- D1-1away to Hammarby FF23 July 2026
RAAL La Louvière
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Anderlecht | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louvière | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Anderlecht vs RAAL La Louvière
- 9 August 2026Anderlecht 2–1 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
- 15 February 2026Anderlecht 0–0 RAAL La LouvièreJupiler Pro League
- 23 November 2025RAAL La Louvière 0–1 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
- 31 October 2023RAAL La Louvière 0–1 AnderlechtCup
- 27 October 2021RAAL La Louvière 1–7 AnderlechtCup
Leading scorers: Anderlecht and RAAL La Louvière
Anderlecht
No player in Jupiler Pro League's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
RAAL La Louvière
- M. Ubandoma5 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.