Annecy vs Metz Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Annecy 1-1 Metz.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Annecy, 27% draw, 40% Metz — fair odds of 3.03, 3.70 and 2.50. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Metz at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Annecy vs Metz
Annecy
- L1-3away to Reims24 August 2026
- W2-0Rodez14 August 2026
Metz
- D1-1Laval22 August 2026
- D0-0away to Grenoble14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Annecy | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 6 | Metz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +3 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Annecy vs Metz
- 8 March 2025Metz 5–1 AnnecyLigue 2
- 14 December 2024Annecy 0–0 MetzLigue 2
- 4 March 2023Annecy 0–3 MetzLigue 2
- 2 September 2022Metz 0–0 AnnecyLigue 2
Leading scorers: Annecy and Metz
Annecy
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Metz
- P. Fall5 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.