29 August 2026, 12:00 UTC

Annecy vs Metz Ligue 2 prediction & result

Parc des Sports, Annecy
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Annecy 1-1 Metz.

Before kick-off the model made it 33% Annecy, 27% draw, 40% Metz — fair odds of 3.03, 3.70 and 2.50.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Metz at 40%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Annecy4%Draw92%Metz4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

11'
Pape Moussa Fall
Kadan Young
22'
24'
⚽Teji Savanier
⚽Kadan Young
33'
59'
🔁Nampalys Mendyout: Believe Munongo
59'
🔁Giorgi Abuashviliout: Nathan Mbala
59'
🔁Teji Savanierout: Ibou Sane
🔁Zepiqueno Redmondout: Moïse Sahi
61'
🔁Kilyan Veniereout: Antoine Larose
61'
🔁Kadan Youngout: Pascal Mozie
76'
🔁M. Konéout: Paul Venot
76'
81'
🔁Jahyann Pandoreout: Abdoulaye Agne Ba
84'
🔁Florian Miguelout: Maxime Colin
Paul Venot
90+2'
90+3'
Bouna Sarr

Match stats — Annecy vs Metz

51%Possession49%
14Shots13
6On target1
7Corners6

Line-ups

Annecy 4-3-3
  • 1F. EscalesG
  • 41T. DelphisD
  • 23M. VeillonD
  • 18A. DrouhinD
  • 27J. KouadioD
  • 14M. KoneM
  • 5A. KashiM
  • 22C. BillemazM
  • 19K. Jusseron-VeniereF
  • 17Z. RedmondF
  • 12K. YoungF
Substitutes
  • 16T. CallensG
  • 4S. LimaD
  • 25P. VenotM
  • 15P. MozieM
  • 28A. LaroseF
  • 9T. RambaudF
  • 80M. DionF
Coach: Laurent Guyot
Metz 4-2-3-1
  • 61P. SyG
  • 70B. SarrD
  • 42C. DevenishD
  • 5J. RuizD
  • 3F. MiguelD
  • 8J. DeminguetM
  • 6N. MendyM
  • 21J. PandoreM
  • 10T. SavanierM
  • 9G. AbuashviliM
  • 11P. M. FallF
Substitutes
  • 40O. BaG
  • 2M. ColinD
  • 4M. MboulaD
  • 18B. MunongoM
  • 7I. SaneF
  • 88A. BaF
  • 39B. SongD
  • 38H. KadamaniM
  • 22N. MbalaF
Coach: Luc Holtz

Form going into Annecy vs Metz

Annecy

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Reims24 August 2026
  • W2-0Rodez14 August 2026
  • W1-0away to PAU8 August 2026

Metz

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Laval22 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Grenoble14 August 2026
  • W2-1Guingamp8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Annecy125161418-416
7Metz124532019+117

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Annecy vs Metz

  • 8 March 2025Metz 5–1 AnnecyLigue 2
  • 14 December 2024Annecy 0–0 MetzLigue 2
  • 4 March 2023Annecy 0–3 MetzLigue 2
  • 2 September 2022Metz 0–0 AnnecyLigue 2

Leading scorers: Annecy and Metz

Annecy

GoalsAssists

  • M. Sahi50

Metz

GoalsAssists

  • P. Fall81
  • J. Deminguet33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Annecy and Metz drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Metz at 40% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Teji Savanier 24' for Metz, Kadan Young 33' for Annecy.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.