AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles Eredivisie prediction & result
Final score: AZ Alkmaar 5-2 GO Ahead Eagles.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% AZ Alkmaar, 23% draw, 18% GO Ahead Eagles — fair odds of 1.69, 4.35 and 5.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
AZ Alkmaar at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 7 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 28J. De BusserG
- 22E. DijkstraD
- 3W. GoesD
- 4L. SchoutenD
- 5M. Chavez GarciaD
- 21D. KwakmanM
- 6P. KoopmeinersM
- 7Weslley PatatiM
- 10K. SmitM
- 11R. DaalM
- 9M. MeerdinkF
- 1R. Owusu-OduroG
- 71I. KaG
- 2S. MaikumaD
- 31R. IchiharaD
- 34M. de WitD
- 20A. NataliD
- 8J. ClasieM
- 75H. de WitM
- 24A. OufkirF
- 1K. HaugG
- 2A. SampstedD
- 26J. DirksenD
- 4J. KramerD
- 5D. JamesD
- 8E. LinthorstM
- 21M. MeulensteenM
- 10S. TengstedtM
- 16V. EdvardsenM
- 17M. SurayM
- 29E. FlatakerF
- 33N. VerdoniG
- 30T. HullemanG
- 6T. JukicD
- 20E. WaayersD
- 34Y. Salah RahmouniM
- 35T. LantveldD
- 18R. MargaretF
- 23T. BaetenF
- 31D. TijmanF
Form going into AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
All competitions we cover
- W2-0away to Fortuna Sittard22 August 2026
- W4-1away to Utrecht15 August 2026
- W2-0ADO Den Haag8 August 2026
GO Ahead Eagles
All competitions we cover
- W3-1ADO Den Haag23 August 2026
- D2-2away to Feyenoord16 August 2026
- W4-1Willem II8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 16 | +8 | 23 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: AZ Alkmaar vs GO Ahead Eagles
- 23 April 2026GO Ahead Eagles 0–0 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
- 7 December 2025AZ Alkmaar 2–2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
- 4 May 2025GO Ahead Eagles 0–3 AZ AlkmaarEredivisie
- 21 April 2025AZ Alkmaar 1–1 GO Ahead EaglesKNVB Beker
- 27 October 2024AZ Alkmaar 2–2 GO Ahead EaglesEredivisie
Leading scorers: AZ Alkmaar and GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar
GoalsAssists
- M. Meerdink63
- R. Daal51
GO Ahead Eagles
GoalsAssists
- S. Tengstedt92
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
AZ Alkmaar beat GO Ahead Eagles 5–2. The model had made a win for AZ Alkmaar its most likely outcome, at 59%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: D. Kwakman 7' for AZ Alkmaar, V. Edvardsen 22' for GO Ahead Eagles, R. Daal 35' for AZ Alkmaar, L. Schouten 49' for AZ Alkmaar, M. Chavez Garcia 68' for AZ Alkmaar, R. Daal 86' for AZ Alkmaar, M. Suray 90' for GO Ahead Eagles. On expected goals it finished 2.39–1.82.