29 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Guingamp vs Nantes Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp
Full time3 – 3

Final score: Guingamp 3-3 Nantes.

Before kick-off the model made it 8% Guingamp, 14% draw, 78% Nantes — fair odds of 12.50, 7.14 and 1.28. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Nantes at 78% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Guingamp vs Nantes

Guingamp

  • L0-1away to Sochaux21 August 2026
  • W1-0Boulogne14 August 2026

Nantes

  • L2-5Rodez22 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Laval14 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Guingamp62229908
17Nantes6114712-54

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Guingamp vs Nantes

  • 19 July 2025Nantes 1–2 GuingampFriendlies Clubs
  • 13 July 2022Nantes 0–1 GuingampFriendlies Clubs
  • 14 July 2021Nantes 1–0 GuingampFriendlies Clubs
  • 3 March 2019Guingamp 0–0 NantesLigue 1
  • 4 November 2018Nantes 5–0 GuingampLigue 1

Leading scorers: Guingamp and Nantes

Guingamp

  • D. Gomis2 goals1 assists
  • S. Kielt2 goals

Nantes

  • W. Younoussa2 goals1 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.