29 August 2026, 18:00 UTC

Guingamp vs Nantes Ligue 2 prediction & result

Stade de Roudourou, Guingamp
Full time3 – 3

Final score: Guingamp 3-3 Nantes.

Before kick-off the model made it 8% Guingamp, 14% draw, 78% Nantes — fair odds of 12.50, 7.14 and 1.28.

Most likely scoreline: 0-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Nantes at 78%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Guingamp0%Draw3%Nantes97%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Samir Ben Brahimassist: Jérémie Matumona Makanga
9'
⚽Donacien Gomisassist: Teddy Andami Averlant
15'
22'
⚽Wilitty Younoussaassist: Bahereba Guirassy
33'
Frédéric Guilbert
49'
⚽Wilitty Younoussa
🔁Stanislas Kieltout: Amadou Samoura
58'
🔁V. Muntu Wa Munguout: Tuomas Ollila
58'
🔁Florent Sanchez Da Silvaout: Tom Ducrocq
59'
🔁Jérémie Matumona Makangaout: Erwin Koffi
68'
🔁Teddy Andami Averlantout: Jasser Chamakh
68'
71'
🔁Wilitty Younoussaout: Ryad Hachem
79'
🔁Dehmaine Tabibouout: Antoine Joujou
85'
⚽Antoine Joujouassist: Lucas Perrin
88'
🔁Frédéric Guilbertout: Diockoumalang Gomes
88'
🔁Mathieu Cafaroout: Louis Leroux
90+4'
Lucas Perrin
⚽Dylan Louiserre (pen)
90+8'
⚽Donacien Gomis
90+8'
Donacien Gomis
90+8'

Match stats — Guingamp vs Nantes

41%Possession59%
14Shots20
7On target6
1Corners5

Line-ups

Guingamp 4-4-2
  • 16A. OrtolaG
  • 3J. MatumonaD
  • 7D. GomisD
  • 36A. DemouchyD
  • 39V. Muntu Wa Mungu
  • 11T. AverlantM
  • 21T. AhileM
  • 4D. LouiserreM
  • 20S. Ben BrahimM
  • 18S. KieltF
  • 8F. Sanchez Da SilvaF
Substitutes
  • 1T. Bartouche-SelbonneG
  • 2E. KoffiD
  • 5T. OllilaD
  • 24J. DiangangaD
  • 35N. FondjaD
  • 23J. ChamakhF
  • 38E. AucanM
  • 25T. DucrocqM
  • 17A. SamouraF
Coach: Sylvain Ripoll
Nantes 4-1-4-1
  • 1M. DupeG
  • 24F. GuilbertD
  • 5L. PerrinD
  • 4S. SowD
  • 98K. AmianD
  • 28I. SissokoM
  • 17D. TabibouM
  • 23W. YounoussaM
  • 8J. LepenantM
  • 20M. CafaroM
  • 11H. GuirassyF
Substitutes
  • 16A. MirbachG
  • 78T. TatiD
  • 52B. DeuffM
  • 26R. HachemM
  • 67M. GomesM
  • 69S. ZianiM
  • 19L. LerouxM
  • 7A. JoujouF
  • 49J. KoneF
Coach: Gregory Poirier

Form going into Guingamp vs Nantes

Guingamp

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Sochaux21 August 2026
  • W1-0Boulogne14 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Metz8 August 2026

Nantes

All competitions we cover

  • L2-5Rodez22 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Laval14 August 2026
  • L0-1RED Star FC 938 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
11Guingamp124261618-214
14Nantes123361418-412

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Guingamp vs Nantes

  • 19 July 2025Nantes 1–2 GuingampFriendlies Clubs
  • 13 July 2022Nantes 0–1 GuingampFriendlies Clubs
  • 14 July 2021Nantes 1–0 GuingampFriendlies Clubs
  • 3 March 2019Guingamp 0–0 NantesLigue 1
  • 4 November 2018Nantes 5–0 GuingampLigue 1

Leading scorers: Guingamp and Nantes

Guingamp

GoalsAssists

  • B. Bokangu40

Nantes

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Guingamp and Nantes drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Nantes at 78% and given a draw 14%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 7 matches like this one. The goals: Samir Ben Brahim 9' for Guingamp, Donacien Gomis 15' for Guingamp, Wilitty Younoussa 22' for Nantes, Wilitty Younoussa 49' for Nantes, Antoine Joujou 85' for Nantes, Donacien Gomis 90+8' for Guingamp.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.