16 October 2026, 18:00 UTC

Annecy vs Nancy Ligue 2 prediction & result

Parc des Sports, Annecy
Referee: Azzedine Souifi, France
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Annecy 1-2 Nancy.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Annecy, 28% draw, 25% Nancy — fair odds of 2.13, 3.57 and 4.00.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Annecy at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

41'
⚽Ilyes Housni (pen)
57'
Nordine Kandil
⚽Moïse Sahiassist: Antoine Larose
59'
🔁Thibault Rambaudout: Kilyan Veniere
65'
🔁Paul Venotout: Alexis Casadei
65'
🔁Clement Billemazout: Souleymane Fofana
65'
68'
🔁Jeremy Gelinout: Chafik El Hansar
68'
🔁Zakaria Fdaouchout: Pape Meissa Ba
🔁Moïse Sahiout: Pascal Mozie
74'
77'
Chafik El Hansar
79'
🔁Nordine Kandilout: Ibrahim cisse
🔁Antoine Laroseout: Adam Yahi
86'
89'
⚽Alexis Casadei (OG)
90+3'
🔁El Hadari Raheriniainaout: Mamadou Fofana

Match stats — Annecy vs Nancy

45%Possession55%
7Shots14
3On target5
3Corners7
0.44xG1.83

Goals against chances

Annecy1 from 0.44 xGmore than the chances were worth
Nancy2 from 1.83 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Annecy 4-2-3-1
  • 1F. EscalesG
  • 41T. DelphisD
  • 23M. VeillonD
  • 26A. Do MarcolinoD
  • 27J. KouadioD
  • 14M. KonéM
  • 25P. VenotM
  • 28A. LaroseM
  • 80M. SahiM
  • 22C. BillemazM
  • 9T. RambaudF
Substitutes
  • 33Gabin SecrétantD
  • 19K. VeniereM
  • 20Adam YahiF
  • 16T. CallensG
  • 8A. CasadeiM
  • 11Souleymane FofanaM
  • 21E. MarreD
  • 15P. MozieM
Coach: L. Guyot
Nancy 4-2-3-1
  • 1E. BasilioG
  • 4N. Fernandez-VelizD
  • 77Y. NahounouD
  • 21E. MendyD
  • 44E. TacafredD
  • 7Z. FdaouchM
  • 8W. BouabdelliM
  • 25J. GélinM
  • 70N. KandilM
  • 12El HadariM
  • 9I. HousniF
Substitutes
  • 30G. LembetG
  • 5P. Meïssa BaF
  • 22L. NdenbeD
  • 29N. ObougoujacquetF
  • 14N. Saint-RufD
  • 2H. TavaresD
  • 17Mamadou Fofana IIM
  • 45C. El HansarM
  • 11I. CisseF
Coach: O. Tanchot

Form going into Annecy vs Nancy

Annecy

Ligue 2

  • W1-0away to Dunkerque9 October 2026

Nancy

Ligue 2

  • W1-0Guingamp9 October 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Annecy125161418-416
2Nancy12813179+825

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Annecy vs Nancy

  • 28 July 2026Nancy 1–1 AnnecyFriendlies Clubs
  • 17 April 2026Nancy 1–5 AnnecyLigue 2
  • 23 September 2025Annecy 1–2 NancyLigue 2
  • 17 November 2018Annecy 0–1 NancyCoupe de France

Leading scorers: Annecy and Nancy

Annecy

GoalsAssists

  • M. Sahi50

Nancy

No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Nancy won 2–1 at Annecy. The model had leaned towards a win for Annecy at 47% and given a win for Nancy 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Ilyes Housni (penalty) 41' for Nancy, Moïse Sahi 59' for Annecy, Alexis Casadei (own goal) 89' for Nancy. On expected goals it finished 0.44–1.83.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Annecy a 31.4% chance to finish in the top four: 36.3% after a win, 28.6% after a draw, 22.7% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 22.7%, 8.7 points lower than before the match.

For Nancy the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 11.0% going in: 15.0% after a win, 11.4% after a draw, 8.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 15.0%, 4 points higher than before the match.

Read from our Ligue 2 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Annecy v Nancy has moved

First published on 2 Oct at 44% / 28% / 28% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 47% / 28% / 25%: the biggest move is Annecy's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Annecy win47%▲ +3
  2. Draw28%=
  3. Nancy win25%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.