Laval vs Clermont Foot Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Laval 3-3 Clermont Foot.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Laval, 29% draw, 35% Clermont Foot — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Laval at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Laval vs Clermont Foot
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1M. HautboisG
- 23E. MoutonD
- 24S. BaneD
- 18A. LôD
- 3W. BiandaD
- 6S. SannaM
- 8T. BouriaudM
- 22J. GaudinM
- 31M. HoudayerM
- 11T. DagoF
- 7C. GourichyF
- 21Alessio BeaudouinD
- 20E. ClavreulM
- 40L. DroyauxG
- 28A. KantéF
- 14C. MandoukiM
- 34A. MoussaouiF
- 33Mohamed SouaréF
- 29M. SidibeM
- 35Joseph SambD
- 30T. GuivarchG
- 93I. CoulibalyD
- 21Y. SalmierD
- 3A. PelmardD
- 28I. M'BahiaD
- 7F. BianchiniM
- 77E. CanteroM
- 26R. KouaméM
- 44A. AckraM
- 6E. KonéM
- 90C. OkouF
- 9Luís SemedoF
- 10J. SambiaD
- 16M. NdiayeG
- 4E. KabeyaD
- 23A. HunouM
- 5J. GrillotM
- 17O. DiopF
- 22Marouane AdmarM
- 39J. Nyindong TsamounaF
Form going into Laval vs Clermont Foot
Laval
Ligue 2
- L2-3away to PAU9 October 2026
Clermont Foot
Ligue 2
- L2-3RED Star FC 9310 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Laval | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Clermont Foot | 12 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Laval vs Clermont Foot
- 3 January 2026Clermont Foot 4–1 LavalLigue 2
- 29 August 2025Laval 0–0 Clermont FootLigue 2
- 18 January 2025Clermont Foot 1–1 LavalLigue 2
- 29 October 2024Laval 1–2 Clermont FootLigue 2
- 14 August 2018Laval 0–3 Clermont FootCoupe de la Ligue
Leading scorers: Laval and Clermont Foot
Laval
GoalsAssists
- M. Houdayer40
Clermont Foot
GoalsAssists
- F. Bianchini41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Laval and Clermont Foot drew 3–3. The model had leaned towards a win for Laval at 36% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Christ Okou 25' for Clermont Foot, Florian Bianchini 38' for Clermont Foot, Jules Gaudin (own goal) 46' for Clermont Foot, Aboubakary Kante 72' for Laval, Sidi Bane 90' for Laval, Aboubakary Kante 90+1' for Laval. On expected goals it finished 3.31–0.93.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Laval a 59.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 52.1% after a win, 62.6% after a draw, 65.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 62.6%, 3.3 points higher than before the match.
For Clermont Foot the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 38.7% going in: 30.8% after a win, 39.1% after a draw, 44.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 39.1%.
Read from our Ligue 2 season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Laval v Clermont Foot has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 34% / 31% / 35% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 36% / 29% / 35%: the biggest move is Laval's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Laval win36%▲ +2
- Draw29%▼ −2
- Clermont Foot win35%=
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.