Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Obolon'-Brovar 2-0 Veres Rivne.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% Obolon'-Brovar, 30% draw, 37% Veres Rivne — fair odds of 3.03, 3.33 and 2.70.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Veres Rivne at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne
Line-ups
- 1N. FedorivskyiG
- 28P. PolehenkoD
- 30K. ProkopchukD
- 32A. LomnytskyiD
- 5Y. ShevchenkoD
- 14A. ShulyanskyiM
- 8A. KulakovskyiM
- 6M. ChekhM
- 7A. MatkevychM
- 90Taras LyakhF
- 55S. SukhanovF
- 9D. UstymenkoF
- 10O. SlobodyanM
- 24E. ProkopenkoD
- 4T. MorozM
- 15D. MyshnovM
- 13I. MedynskyiM
- 20R. VolokhatyiM
- 2D. KapinusD
- 3V. ErmakovD
- 91V. GorokhG
- 17M. ProtasevychD
- 4K. CipotD
- 3S. VovchenkoD
- 2M. SmiyanD
- 19André GonçalvesM
- 14I. KharatinM
- 44D. ChecherM
- 77V. SharayM
- 7Fabrício YanF
- 11L. PombaF
- 22K. StamoulisD
- 53Andrey VictorD
- 5Pavlo BagriyD
- 80Guilherme BahiaM
- 6David NiyoM
- 27S. MigutskyiF
- 20Alagie WallyF
- 1Pavlo StefanyukG
- 25I. SanotskyiF
Form going into Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne
Obolon'-Brovar
Premier League
- D1-1away to Chornomorets18 September 2026
Veres Rivne
Premier League
- L0-3Shakhtar Donetsk9 October 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ukraine Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Obolon'-Brovar | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18 | -13 | 8 |
| 13 | Veres Rivne | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Obolon'-Brovar vs Veres Rivne
- 11 April 2026Veres Rivne 2–0 Obolon'-BrovarPremier League
- 4 October 2025Obolon'-Brovar 1–1 Veres RivnePremier League
- 19 July 2025Obolon'-Brovar 0–1 Veres RivneFriendlies Clubs
- 3 May 2025Veres Rivne 0–2 Obolon'-BrovarPremier League
- 4 November 2024Obolon'-Brovar 0–0 Veres RivnePremier League
Leading scorers: Obolon'-Brovar and Veres Rivne
Obolon'-Brovar
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Veres Rivne
GoalsAssists
- André Gonçalves22
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Obolon'-Brovar beat Veres Rivne 2–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Veres Rivne at 37% and given a win for Obolon'-Brovar 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Artem Kulakovskyi 21' for Obolon'-Brovar, Igor Medynskyi 84' for Obolon'-Brovar. Sent off: David Niyo (Veres Rivne) 54'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Obolon'-Brovar a 82.3% chance to finish in the bottom three: 76.5% after a win, 84.5% after a draw, 86.6% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 76.5%, 5.8 points lower than before the match.
For Veres Rivne the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 17.3% going in: 11.5% after a win, 18.5% after a draw, 21.4% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 21.4%, 4.1 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.