5 September 2026, 18:15 UTC

Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 First League prediction & result

Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Levski Sofia 1-0 CSKA 1948.

Before kick-off the model made it 51% Levski Sofia, 26% draw, 23% CSKA 1948 — fair odds of 1.96, 3.85 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Levski Sofia at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Levski Sofia97%Draw3%CSKA 19480%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

17'
Héctor Cuellar
Juan Perea
28'
46'
🔁A. Hoffmannout: L. Dvali
51'
🔁E. Francoout: J. Meyer
⚽J. Perea
58'
62'
🔁Fredericout: A. Iliev
62'
🔁B. Tsonevout: B. Sobrero
🔁A. Mitkovout: Everton Bala
65'
🔁M. Soulaout: Serginho
65'
74'
🔁P. Vitanovout: M. Diallo
🔁J. Pereaout: Reinaldo
76'
🔁M. Grujicout: A. Centelles
76'
🔁A. Oko-Flexout: A. Neves
85'
86'
Diego Medina

Line-ups

Levski Sofia 4-1-4-1
  • 92S. VutsovG
  • 2S. Hevertton
  • 4C. Makoun
  • 18G. TrdinM
  • 50K. Dimitrov
  • 3Maicon
  • 8M. Grujic
  • 22M. Soula
  • 10A. MitkovM
  • 11A. Oko-Flex
  • 9J. Perea
Substitutes
  • 1O. Vladimirov
  • 7ReinaldoF
  • 17Everton BalaM
  • 20A. CentellesD
  • 21A. NevesD
  • 27D. KussoM
  • 28S. Stoyanchov
  • 35SerginhoM
  • 77A. Raychev
Coach: Julio Velazquez
CSKA 1948 4-2-3-1
  • 31A. BozhevG
  • 2D. MedinaD
  • 77E. FrancoM
  • 4A. HoffmannD
  • 22O. GasevicD
  • 33H. CuellarM
  • 8M. ZemzemiM
  • 10B. TsonevM
  • 34P. Vitanov
  • 11G. RusevM
  • 67Frederic
Substitutes
  • 3L. Dvali
  • 5B. Benamar
  • 9A. Iliev
  • 13D. Sheytanov
  • 14K. Strinski
  • 20B. Sobrero
  • 23F. Krebs
  • 30J. MeyerM
  • 70K. Iliev
Coach: Aleksandar Aleksandrov

Form going into Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948

Levski Sofia

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1away to Slavia Sofia2 September 2026
  • W3-1away to Botev Plovdiv30 August 2026
  • L0-4away to AEK Athens FC26 August 2026
  • W6-0Spartak Varna22 August 2026
  • D0-0AEK Athens FC18 August 2026

CSKA 1948

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv28 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Septemvri Sofia23 August 2026
  • W4-1Cherno More Varna14 August 2026
  • L1-2Panathinaikos11 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Lokomotiv Sofia8 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Levski Sofia131021258+1732
4CSKA 1948149233316+1729

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948

  • 25 May 2026CSKA 1948 0–0 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 2 May 2026Levski Sofia 1–0 CSKA 1948First League
  • 22 February 2026CSKA 1948 1–3 Levski SofiaFirst League
  • 31 August 2025Levski Sofia 2–1 CSKA 1948First League
  • 3 April 2025Levski Sofia 2–0 CSKA 1948First League
  • 15 September 2024CSKA 1948 2–4 Levski SofiaFirst League

Leading scorers: Levski Sofia and CSKA 1948

Levski Sofia

No player in First League's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.

CSKA 1948

GoalsAssists

  • Frédéric Maciel30
  • Elias Franco20
  • A. Iliev10

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Levski Sofia beat CSKA 1948 1–0. The model had made a win for Levski Sofia its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: J. Perea 58' for Levski Sofia.

How the call on Levski Sofia v CSKA 1948 has moved

First published on 1 Sep at 44% / 27% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 51% / 26% / 23%: the biggest move is Levski Sofia's chance of winning, up 7 points.

  1. Levski Sofia win51%▲ +7
  2. Draw26%▼ −1
  3. CSKA 1948 win23%▼ −6

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.