Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 First League prediction & result
Final score: Levski Sofia 1-0 CSKA 1948.
Before kick-off the model made it 51% Levski Sofia, 26% draw, 23% CSKA 1948 — fair odds of 1.96, 3.85 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
All Bulgarian First League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Levski Sofia at 51%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
- 92S. VutsovG
- 2S. Hevertton
- 4C. Makoun
- 18G. TrdinM
- 50K. Dimitrov
- 3Maicon
- 8M. Grujic
- 22M. Soula
- 10A. MitkovM
- 11A. Oko-Flex
- 9J. Perea
- 1O. Vladimirov
- 7ReinaldoF
- 17Everton BalaM
- 20A. CentellesD
- 21A. NevesD
- 27D. KussoM
- 28S. Stoyanchov
- 35SerginhoM
- 77A. Raychev
- 31A. BozhevG
- 2D. MedinaD
- 77E. FrancoM
- 4A. HoffmannD
- 22O. GasevicD
- 33H. CuellarM
- 8M. ZemzemiM
- 10B. TsonevM
- 34P. Vitanov
- 11G. RusevM
- 67Frederic
- 3L. Dvali
- 5B. Benamar
- 9A. Iliev
- 13D. Sheytanov
- 14K. Strinski
- 20B. Sobrero
- 23F. Krebs
- 30J. MeyerM
- 70K. Iliev
Form going into Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Slavia Sofia2 September 2026
- W3-1away to Botev Plovdiv30 August 2026
- L0-4away to AEK Athens FC26 August 2026
- W6-0Spartak Varna22 August 2026
- D0-0AEK Athens FC18 August 2026
CSKA 1948
All competitions we cover
- W2-0Lokomotiv Plovdiv28 August 2026
- L0-1away to Septemvri Sofia23 August 2026
- W4-1Cherno More Varna14 August 2026
- L1-2Panathinaikos11 August 2026
- W3-1away to Lokomotiv Sofia8 August 2026
What these results say
- 4 of these 5 matches for Levski Sofia had three goals or more.
- CSKA 1948 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- CSKA 1948 conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
First League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | +17 | 32 |
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | +17 | 29 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948
- 25 May 2026CSKA 1948 0–0 Levski SofiaFirst League
- 2 May 2026Levski Sofia 1–0 CSKA 1948First League
- 22 February 2026CSKA 1948 1–3 Levski SofiaFirst League
- 31 August 2025Levski Sofia 2–1 CSKA 1948First League
- 3 April 2025Levski Sofia 2–0 CSKA 1948First League
- 15 September 2024CSKA 1948 2–4 Levski SofiaFirst League
Leading scorers: Levski Sofia and CSKA 1948
Levski Sofia
No player in First League's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.
CSKA 1948
GoalsAssists
- Frédéric Maciel30
- Elias Franco20
- A. Iliev10
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Levski Sofia beat CSKA 1948 1–0. The model had made a win for Levski Sofia its most likely outcome, at 51%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: J. Perea 58' for Levski Sofia.
How the call on Levski Sofia v CSKA 1948 has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 44% / 27% / 29% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 3 updates, it read 51% / 26% / 23%: the biggest move is Levski Sofia's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- Levski Sofia win51%▲ +7
- Draw26%▼ −1
- CSKA 1948 win23%▼ −6
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.