Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% Argentinos Juniors, 30% draw, 28% Gimnasia La Plata — fair odds of 2.38, 3.33 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Argentinos Juniors at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 25B. CortesG
- 22K. CoronelD
- 16F. AlvarezD
- 6F. VazquezD
- 20S. PrietoD
- 10G. FlorentinM
- 15K. GutierrezM
- 11N. OrozM
- 8H. LopezM
- 27T. MolinaF
- 9G. VeronF
- 12G. Siri PayerG
- 26C. BravoD
- 17F. ParedesD
- 4E. GodoyD
- 30A. NunezD
- 5F. CarrizoD
- 32G. InfantinoM
- 35A. AlcarazF
- 19M. GimenezF
- 23N. InsfranG
- 31B. Barros SchelottoD
- 13German ContiD
- 21E. MartinezD
- 24P. Silva TorrejonD
- 5I. MiramonM
- 18M. SeoaneM
- 9M. ZalazarM
- 8N. FernandezM
- 17L. JansonM
- 29A. AuzmendiF
- 27J. KadijevicG
- 22M. MellusoD
- 4R. GiampaoliD
- 16A. MaxM
- 10N. SchelottoM
- 20J. PerezM
- 25A. SteimbachM
- 33P. AguiarM
- 32M. TorresF
Form going into Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinos Juniors
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Barracas Central7 September 2026
- W2-1Aldosivi30 August 2026
- D1-1away to Lanus25 August 2026
- L0-2away to River Plate16 August 2026
- W2-1Racing Club9 August 2026
Gimnasia La Plata
All competitions we cover
- W2-1Tigre5 September 2026
- W2-1away to Rosario Central29 August 2026
- L2-3Gimnasia Mendoza22 August 2026
- L0-4away to Estudiantes La Plata15 August 2026
- W2-0Barracas Central9 August 2026
What these results say
- Argentinos Juniors conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gimnasia La Plata scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Gimnasia La Plata conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Gimnasia La Plata had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 20 | 14 | +6 | 31 |
| 3 | Gimnasia La Plata | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 20 | +5 | 31 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Argentinos Juniors vs Gimnasia La Plata
- 3 May 2026Gimnasia La Plata 2–0 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 2 September 2024Gimnasia La Plata 1–0 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
- 6 March 2024Argentinos Juniors 2–0 Gimnasia La PlataCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 19 October 2023Gimnasia La Plata 3–2 Argentinos JuniorsCopa de la Liga Profesional
- 25 April 2023Argentinos Juniors 2–4 Gimnasia La PlataLiga Profesional Argentina
Leading scorers: Argentinos Juniors and Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinos Juniors
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Gimnasia La Plata
GoalsAssists
- M. Torres102
- A. Auzmendi84
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Argentinos Juniors and Gimnasia La Plata drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Argentinos Juniors at 42% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: A. Auzmendi 26' for Gimnasia La Plata, G. Veron 74' for Argentinos Juniors. Sent off: Sebastián Prieto (Argentinos Juniors) 41'. On expected goals it finished 0.68–1.55.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.