9 August 2026, 23:15 UTC

Argentinos Juniors vs Racing Club Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Diego Armando Maradona, Buenos Aires
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Argentinos Juniors 2-1 Racing Club.

Before kick-off the model made it 50% Argentinos Juniors, 26% draw, 24% Racing Club — fair odds of 2.00, 3.85 and 4.17. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Argentinos Juniors at 50% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Argentinos Juniors98%Draw2%Racing Club0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽T. Molina
9'
20'
•Adrián Martínez
21'
Adrián Martínez
28'
⚽E. Cannavoassist: A. Tello
45'
Ezequiel Cannavo
🔁G. Veronout: F. Jainikoski
46'
Francisco Álvarez
47'
59'
🔁M. Miljevicout: S. Solari
59'
🔁M. Di Cesareout: N. Colombo
Sebastián Prieto
68'
🔁N. Orozout: D. Porcel
71'
🔁K. Coronelout: M. Gimenez
72'
⚽H. Lopez
77'
Diego Porcel
80'
80'
Marcos Rojo
82'
Matías Kranevitter
🔁T. Molinaout: G. Florentin
82'
82'
🔁L. Diazout: T. Conechny
82'
🔁M. Kranevitterout: S. Aguirre
🔁H. Lopezout: T. Gomez
87'
Brayan Cortés
90+9'
Alan Lescano
90+6'
90+3'
🔁A. Telloout: E. Torres

Match stats — Argentinos Juniors vs Racing Club

66%Possession34%
21Shots15
9On target3
9Corners4
2.68xG0.9

Goals against chances

Argentinos Juniors2 from 2.68 xGless than the chances were worth
Racing Club1 from 0.90 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Argentinos Juniors 4-3-1-2
  • 25B. CortesG
  • 22K. CoronelD
  • 16F. AlvarezD
  • 6F. VazquezD
  • 20S. PrietoD
  • 10A. LescanoM
  • 15K. GutierrezM
  • 11N. OrozM
  • 8H. LopezM
  • 9G. VeronF
  • 27T. MolinaF
Substitutes
  • 50D. RodriguezG
  • 26C. BravoD
  • 7I. MoralesF
  • 19M. GimenezF
  • 29E. ViverosM
  • 37T. Gomez
  • 21G. FlorentinM
  • 47D. PorcelF
  • 48F. JainikoskiF
Coach: Nicolas Diez
Racing Club 4-3-1-2
  • 25F. CambesesG
  • 4E. CannavoD
  • 3M. Di CesareD
  • 6M. RojoD
  • 19I. RodriguezD
  • 16U. OrtegozaM
  • 5M. KranevitterM
  • 46A. TelloM
  • 10M. MiljevicM
  • 32L. DiazF
  • 9Adrian MartinezF
Substitutes
  • 30M. TagliamonteG
  • 18PachaD
  • 28S. SolariF
  • 43G. EscuderoD
  • 17T. ConechnyF
  • 23N. ColomboD
  • 15G. N. Martirena TorresD
  • 34T. RubioD
  • 22E. TorresF
Coach: Gustavo Costas

Form going into Argentinos Juniors vs Racing Club

Argentinos Juniors

  • W1-0away to Belgrano Cordoba1 August 2026
  • W3-0Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto29 July 2026
  • W3-2away to Sarmiento Junin23 July 2026

Racing Club

  • L1-3Tigre1 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Rosario Central29 July 2026
  • W2-1Gimnasia La Plata24 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Argentinos Juniors vs Racing Club

  • 9 August 2026Argentinos Juniors 2–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 7 February 2026Racing Club 2–1 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 24 August 2025Argentinos Juniors 4–1 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 16 February 2025Racing Club 2–3 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 21 May 2024Racing Club 3–0 Argentinos JuniorsLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 5 February 2023Argentinos Juniors 1–0 Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.