Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia Mendoza Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result
Final score: Instituto Cordoba 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% Instituto Cordoba, 19% draw, 19% Gimnasia Mendoza — fair odds of 1.61, 5.26 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Instituto Cordoba at 62% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia Mendoza
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 29Marcos LedesmaG
- 30Jonathan GalvánD
- 26Leonel MosevichD
- 6Fernando AlarcónD
- 44Giuliano CeratoM
- 55Gustavo AbregúM
- 15Matías GallardoM
- 3Diego Alejandro SosaM
- 20Jhon CórdobaF
- 10Alex LunaF
- 17Matías TisseraF
- 21Jeremías LázaroM
- 22Agustín MassaccesiD
- 9Facundo SuárezF
- 11Matías FonsecaF
- 35Emanuel SittaroG
- 23Juan MeliD
- 32Agustín BravoD
- 2Hernán de la FuenteD
- 19Gastón LodicoM
- 23Cesar RigamontiG
- 22Juan FrancoD
- 42Lautaro CarreraD
- 4Ezequiel MuñozD
- 16Germán GuiffreyD
- 3Matias RecaldeD
- 26Facundo LencioniM
- 21Fermin AntoniniM
- 19Julian CeballosM
- 9Agustín ModicaF
- 7Luciano CingolaniF
- 10Nicolás RomanoF
- 28Tomás O'ConnorM
- 41Gerónimo PatrittiM
- 32Luciano ParedesD
- 17Ignacio SabatiniF
- 31Lautaro PetruchiG
- 5Nahuel BarbozaM
- 33Brian AndradaF
- 15Ulises SánchezM
Form going into Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia Mendoza
Instituto Cordoba
- W1-0away to Lanus3 August 2026
- W2-1Platense30 July 2026
- L0-1away to Velez Sarsfield24 July 2026
Gimnasia Mendoza
- W2-0Union Santa Fe1 August 2026
- L0-1away to San Lorenzo28 July 2026
- W1-0Central Cordoba de Santiago24 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto Cordoba | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 19 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Instituto Cordoba vs Gimnasia Mendoza
- 9 August 2026Instituto Cordoba 1–0 Gimnasia MendozaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 9 February 2026Gimnasia Mendoza 1–0 Instituto CordobaLiga Profesional Argentina
- 27 July 2022Gimnasia Mendoza 2–0 Instituto CordobaPrimera Nacional
- 17 November 2019Gimnasia Mendoza 2–1 Instituto CordobaPrimera Nacional
- 20 April 2019Instituto Cordoba 1–1 Gimnasia MendozaPrimera Nacional
Leading scorers: Instituto Cordoba and Gimnasia Mendoza
Instituto Cordoba
No player in Liga Profesional Argentina's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Gimnasia Mendoza
- A. Módica12 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.