6 November 2026, 18:30 UTC

Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti Liga I prediction & result

Mioveni
Referee: Florin Andrei, Romania
Full time2 – 1

Final score: Arges Pitesti 2-1 Dinamo Bucuresti.

Before kick-off the model made it 22% Arges Pitesti, 32% draw, 46% Dinamo Bucuresti — fair odds of 4.55, 3.13 and 2.17.

Most likely scoreline: 0-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Dinamo Bucuresti at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

D. Oancea
15'
⚽R. Sierraassist: D. Oancea
38'
V. Rata
45'
45+1'
D. Zandbergen
62'
⚽L. Sadriu (OG)
63'
🔁D. Pintoout: M. Karamoko
C. Tofan
64'
🔁V. Rataout: R. Moldoveanu
68'
🔁I. Radescuout: T. Goncalves
68'
🔁R. Sierraout: O. Alagbe
77'
🔁R. Matosout: M. Mamadou
77'
88'
🔁D. Irimiaout: I. Tarba
88'
🔁D. Armstrongout: A. Musi
Garutti
89'
⚽M. Mamadou
90+1'
🔁D. Oanceaout: S. Balaure
90+4'
T. Goncalves
90+6'

Match stats — Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti

30%Possession70%
8Shots20
3On target5
6Corners7

Line-ups

Arges Pitesti 3-4-2-1
  • 77Igor NikićG
  • 2Costinel TofanD
  • 15Guilherme GaruttiD
  • 3Leard SadriuD
  • 26Dorinel OanceaM
  • 27Rober SierraM
  • 22Vadim RațăM
  • 23Florin BorțaM
  • 16Ionuț RădescuF
  • 11Yanis PîrvuF
  • 17Ricardo MatosF
Substitutes
  • 25Tiago GonçalvesD
  • 99Robert MoldoveanuF
  • 69Oluwatobiloba AlagbeD
  • 8Mendy MamadouF
  • 96Silviu BalaureM
  • 34Cătălin CăbuzG
  • 1Cătălin StratonG
  • 80Xian EmmersM
  • 19Claudiu MicovschiF
Dinamo Bucuresti 4-4-2
  • 36Alaa BellaarouchG
  • 20David IrimiaD
  • 44Martín PascualD
  • 15Nikita StoinovD
  • 31Raul OpruțD
  • 77Danny ArmstrongM
  • 29Alberto SoroM
  • 6Matthias VerrethM
  • 8Diogo PintoM
  • 97Dean ZandbergenF
  • 10Cătălin CîrjanF
Substitutes
  • 9Mamoudou KaramokoF
  • 23Ianis TarbăF
  • 7Alexandru MusiM
  • 73Alexandru RoșcaG
  • 19Răzvan RaduD
  • 66Ștefan OprișM
  • 30Matteo DuțuD
  • 5Imran FetaiD
  • 21Cristian MihaiM

Form going into Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti

Arges Pitesti

Liga I

  • L0-2away to Corvinul Hunedoara31 October 2026
  • L0-1Uta Arad24 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Universitatea Cluj19 October 2026
  • L0-1CFR 1907 Cluj12 October 2026

Dinamo Bucuresti

Liga I

  • W2-0Uta Arad1 November 2026
  • D2-2away to CFR 1907 Cluj25 October 2026
  • W2-0FC Botosani16 October 2026
  • W2-0away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe9 October 2026

What these results say

  • Arges Pitesti did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Arges Pitesti conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Arges Pitesti failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Dinamo Bucuresti went unbeaten through these 4 matches.
  • Dinamo Bucuresti scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Dinamo Bucuresti won 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Arges Pitesti154381017-715
2Dinamo Bucuresti1510323211+2133

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Arges Pitesti vs Dinamo Bucuresti

  • 10 May 2026Dinamo Bucuresti 2–1 Arges PitestiLiga I
  • 4 April 2026Arges Pitesti 1–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
  • 1 March 2026Dinamo Bucuresti 0–1 Arges PitestiLiga I
  • 24 October 2025Arges Pitesti 1–1 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
  • 3 June 2023Arges Pitesti 4–2 Dinamo BucurestiLiga I
  • 29 May 2023Dinamo Bucuresti 6–1 Arges PitestiLiga I

Leading scorers: Arges Pitesti and Dinamo Bucuresti

Arges Pitesti

No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.

Dinamo Bucuresti

GoalsAssists

  • D. Armstrong610
  • Martín Pascual50
  • Alberto Soro44

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Arges Pitesti beat Dinamo Bucuresti 2–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Dinamo Bucuresti at 46% and given a win for Arges Pitesti 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: R. Sierra 38' for Arges Pitesti, L. Sadriu (own goal) 62' for Dinamo Bucuresti, M. Mamadou 90+1' for Arges Pitesti.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Arges Pitesti a 36.0% chance to finish in the bottom three: 24.2% after a win, 35.3% after a draw, 41.3% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 24.2%, 11.8 points lower than before the match.

For Dinamo Bucuresti the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 32.9% going in: 39.1% after a win, 27.8% after a draw, 24.3% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 24.3%, 8.6 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Arges Pitesti v Dinamo Bucuresti has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 24% / 33% / 43% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 5 updates, it read 22% / 32% / 46%: the biggest move is Dinamo Bucuresti's chance of winning, up 3 points.

  1. Arges Pitesti win22%▼ −2
  2. Draw32%▼ −1
  3. Dinamo Bucuresti win46%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.