7 November 2026, 15:30 UTC

Farul Constanta vs Rapid Liga I prediction & result

Central Stadium Hagi Academy, Ovidiu
Referee: Istvan Kovacs, Romania
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Farul Constanta 1-1 Rapid.

Before kick-off the model made it 34% Farul Constanta, 27% draw, 39% Rapid — fair odds of 2.94, 3.70 and 2.56.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rapid at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Farul Constanta4%Draw92%Rapid4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

32'
⚽V. Bubanjaassist: A. Pascanu
N. Aberdin
45+2'
45+2'
F. Stojilkovic
45+2'
C. Grameni
🔁L. Pellegriniout: S. Bouzamoucha
46'
⚽R. Tanasa
53'
🔁R. Tanasaout: N. Grigoryan
61'
62'
🔁C. Petrilaout: M. Kamara
72'
🔁A. Pascanuout: C. Vulturar
72'
🔁C. Grameniout: A. Dobre
73'
🔁F. Stojilkovicout: J. Kodor
80'
🔁R. Popout: W. L. Ouedraogo
82'
S. Sinyan

Match stats — Farul Constanta vs Rapid

47%Possession53%
19Shots17
4On target4
7Corners3

Line-ups

Farul Constanta 3-4-3
  • 12Rafael MunteanuG
  • 6Victor DicanD
  • 5Nabil AberdinD
  • 21Lucas PellegriniD
  • 8Ionuț VînăM
  • 23Tony NjikéM
  • 70Matteo AhlinviM
  • 11Cristian GaneaM
  • 20Eduard RadaslavescuF
  • 7Denis AlibecF
  • 71Răzvan TănasăF
Substitutes
  • 24Sofyane BouzamouchaD
  • 30Narek GrigoryanF
  • 1Alexandru BuzbuchiG
  • 27Hassane TraoréD
  • 33João FerreiraD
  • 4Gustavo MarinsD
  • 22Dan SîrbuD
  • 3Valentin ȚicuD
  • 17Ionuț LarieD
Rapid 3-4-3
  • 16Marian AioaniG
  • 5Alexandru PaşcanuD
  • 6Lars KramerD
  • 18Sheriff SinyanD
  • 19Răzvan OneaM
  • 22Vladan BubanjaM
  • 8Constantin GrameniM
  • 55Rareș PopM
  • 80Olimpiu MoruțanF
  • 9Filip StojilkovićF
  • 10Claudiu PetrilaF
Substitutes
  • 7Mohammed KamaraF
  • 29Alex DobreF
  • 15Cătălin VulturarM
  • 77Jason KodorF
  • 66Latif OuedraogoD
  • 99Bogdan UngureanuG
  • 13Denis CiobotariuD
  • 27Ebenezer AnnanD
  • 42Alin Kumer CelikD

Form going into Farul Constanta vs Rapid

Farul Constanta

Liga I

  • W2-1away to FC Voluntari2 November 2026
  • W4-3Oțelul25 October 2026
  • L0-2away to Universitatea Craiova18 October 2026
  • W3-1Petrolul Ploiesti11 October 2026

Rapid

Liga I

  • W2-0Csikszereda30 October 2026
  • L1-4away to FCSB24 October 2026
  • W2-0Corvinul Hunedoara17 October 2026
  • W4-3away to Universitatea Cluj12 October 2026

What these results say

  • Farul Constanta conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Farul Constanta won 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Farul Constanta scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Rapid scored in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Rapid won 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Farul Constanta156632422+224
3Rapid159422414+1031

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Farul Constanta vs Rapid

  • 15 February 2026Farul Constanta 3–1 RapidLiga I
  • 4 October 2025Rapid 3–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
  • 24 February 2025Farul Constanta 1–3 RapidLiga I
  • 21 October 2024Rapid 5–0 Farul ConstantaLiga I
  • 24 April 2024Farul Constanta 3–1 RapidLiga I
  • 15 March 2024Rapid 1–2 Farul ConstantaLiga I

Leading scorers: Farul Constanta and Rapid

Farul Constanta

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ahlinvi71
  • E. Rădăslăvescu53

Rapid

GoalsAssists

  • A. Dobre60
  • F. Stojilković41

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Farul Constanta and Rapid drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Rapid at 39% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: V. Bubanja 32' for Rapid, R. Tanasa 53' for Farul Constanta.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave Farul Constanta a 47.8% chance to finish in the top six: 57.2% after a win, 46.2% after a draw, 39.6% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 46.2%, 1.6 points lower than before the match.

For Rapid the question was the chance to finish top of the regular season, 8.7% going in: 12.2% after a win, 6.9% after a draw, 5.1% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 6.9%, 1.8 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

How the call on Farul Constanta v Rapid has moved

First published on 24 Oct at 30% / 28% / 42% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 34% / 27% / 39%: the biggest move is Farul Constanta's chance of winning, up 4 points.

  1. Farul Constanta win34%▲ +4
  2. Draw27%▼ −1
  3. Rapid win39%▼ −3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.