FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara Liga I prediction & result
Final score: FCSB 0-1 Corvinul Hunedoara.
Before kick-off the model made it 52% FCSB, 26% draw, 22% Corvinul Hunedoara — fair odds of 1.92, 3.85 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
FCSB at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara
Line-ups
- 32Ștefan TârnovanuG
- 97Ronny LabonneD
- 5Joyskim DawaD
- 3André DuarteD
- 77Luca StancuD
- 73Karlo MuharM
- 33Risto RadunovićM
- 11David MiculescuM
- 28Aymen BoutoutaouM
- 7Meriton KorenicaM
- 10Denis DrăguşF
- 18João PauloM
- 90Alexandru StoianF
- 20Dennis PoliticF
- 15Ofri AradD
- 98David PopaF
- 13Matei PopaG
- 17Mihai PopescuD
- 21Dylan BatubinsikaD
- 8Eddy GnahoréM
- 12Adrian FrânculescuG
- 13Flavius IacobD
- 15Mihajlo IvančevićD
- 30Antoniu ManolacheD
- 10Alexandru NeacșaD
- 23Ion CărărușM
- 8Dragoș AlbuM
- 99Emmanuel YeboahM
- 22Andrej FábryM
- 19Nicolae PîrvulescuM
- 32Ángel GillardF
- 11Roger FerreiraM
- 41Mario BratuF
- 97Denis HrezdacM
- 14Muhammed HayatuF
- 9Renato EspinosaF
- 21Codruț SanduG
- 5Mo AbualnadiD
- 47Gideon GoodladM
- 20Sérgio RibeiroF
Form going into FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara
FCSB
Liga I
- L0-1away to Universitatea Cluj2 November 2026
- W4-1Rapid24 October 2026
- W2-1away to FC Voluntari19 October 2026
- W1-0Oțelul10 October 2026
Corvinul Hunedoara
Liga I
- W2-0Arges Pitesti31 October 2026
- L0-3Universitatea Cluj23 October 2026
- L0-2away to Rapid17 October 2026
- W3-2FC Voluntari9 October 2026
What these results say
- FCSB won 3 of these 4 matches.
- FCSB scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FCSB conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Corvinul Hunedoara conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FCSB | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 16 | +1 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FCSB vs Corvinul Hunedoara
- 4 July 2024FCSB 3–0 Corvinul HunedoaraSupercupa
The result against the call
Corvinul Hunedoara won 1–0 at FCSB. The model had leaned towards a win for FCSB at 52% and given a win for Corvinul Hunedoara 22%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goal: A. Fabry 41' for Corvinul Hunedoara.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave FCSB a 54.6% chance to finish in the top six: 61.4% after a win, 50.5% after a draw, 40.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 40.9%, 13.7 points lower than before the match.
For Corvinul Hunedoara the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 13.7% going in: 21.5% after a win, 13.7% after a draw, 9.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 21.5%, 7.8 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Liga I season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.