Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC Bundesliga prediction & result
Final score: Rapid Vienna 6-0 Wolfsberger AC.
Before kick-off the model made it 72% Rapid Vienna, 19% draw, 9% Wolfsberger AC — fair odds of 1.39, 5.26 and 11.11.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Rapid Vienna at 72%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1N. HedlG
- 77B. BollaD
- 20K. AhoussouD
- 6S. Raux-YaoD
- 38J. HornD
- 18M. SeidlM
- 30N. BajliczM
- 7M. TilioM
- 22Y. DemirM
- 10P. DahlM
- 9E. KaraF
- 2Eaden RokaD
- 47Amìn-Elias GröllerD
- 71C. M'BuyiF
- 43M. HaïdaraF
- 15Nikolaus WurmbrandF
- 21L. SchaubM
- 8T. AdamsenF
- 61F. DemirD
- 25P. GartlerG
- 12L. GliklichG
- 31F. WohlmuthD
- 35Matteo KitzD
- 15Cheikh Mamadou DiabatéD
- 30M. SulznerD
- 11A. SchwarzD
- 34E. AgyemangM
- 8S. PiesingerM
- 10D. AvdijajM
- 23P. VerhounigF
- 49S. KaramokoF
- 1L. GütlbauerG
- 7L. HasslerM
- 82J. LahneF
- 2Boris MatićM
- 32M. PinkF
- 17Marco SchabauerM
- 20T. SchrieblM
- 6R. BehounekD
- 9G. VrioniF
Form going into Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
Bundesliga
- W2-0away to Austria Vienna1 November 2026
- W5-1Austria Lustenau24 October 2026
- W3-1TSV Hartberg16 October 2026
- W2-0away to Lask Linz11 October 2026
Wolfsberger AC
Bundesliga
- D1-1Sturm Graz1 November 2026
- L0-1away to TSV Hartberg24 October 2026
- L0-2WSG Wattens18 October 2026
- L0-3away to SCR Altach11 October 2026
What these results say
- Rapid Vienna won every one of these 4 matches.
- Rapid Vienna scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Wolfsberger AC did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Wolfsberger AC conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Wolfsberger AC failed to score in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Austria Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapid Vienna | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 9 | +30 | 33 |
| 12 | Wolfsberger AC | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC
- 12 September 2026Wolfsberger AC 0–3 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 21 February 2026Rapid Vienna 2–0 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 24 August 2025Wolfsberger AC 1–2 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 4 May 2025Rapid Vienna 0–1 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
- 20 April 2025Wolfsberger AC 5–1 Rapid ViennaBundesliga
- 8 February 2025Rapid Vienna 1–3 Wolfsberger ACBundesliga
Leading scorers: Rapid Vienna and Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
GoalsAssists
- E. Kara71
- P. Dahl71
- T. Adamsen55
Wolfsberger AC
GoalsAssists
- G. Vrioni40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rapid Vienna beat Wolfsberger AC 6–0. The model had made a win for Rapid Vienna its most likely outcome, at 72%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Petter Nosakhare Dahl 9' for Rapid Vienna, Petter Nosakhare Dahl 45' for Rapid Vienna, Ercan Kara 67' for Rapid Vienna, Tonni Adamsen 76' for Rapid Vienna, Ercan Kara 79' for Rapid Vienna, Claudy M'Buyi 83' for Rapid Vienna. On expected goals it finished 3.04–0.31.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Rapid Vienna a 58.6% chance to finish top of the regular season: 61.7% after a win, 47.5% after a draw, 40.7% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 61.7%, 3.1 points higher than before the match.
For Wolfsberger AC the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 79.6% going in: 64.4% after a win, 73.5% after a draw, 82.2% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 82.2%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Bundesliga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.