Ascoli vs Benevento Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Ascoli 1-0 Benevento.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Ascoli, 28% draw, 34% Benevento — fair odds of 2.63, 3.57 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Ascoli at 38% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 1772 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.5% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Ascoli vs Benevento
Ascoli
- D1-1Carrarese29 August 2026
- W2-1away to Hellas Verona23 August 2026
Benevento
- D1-1Sudtirol30 August 2026
- L1-2Modena22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie B table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ascoli | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 7 |
| 13 | Benevento | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Ascoli vs Benevento
- 26 February 2023Ascoli 0–0 BeneventoSerie B
- 2 October 2022Benevento 1–1 AscoliSerie B
- 13 May 2022Ascoli 0–1 BeneventoSerie B
- 16 February 2022Benevento 0–2 AscoliSerie B
- 18 September 2021Ascoli 0–2 BeneventoSerie B
- 31 July 2020Ascoli 2–4 BeneventoSerie B
Leading scorers: Ascoli and Benevento
Ascoli
No player in Serie B's leading scorers — 4 league goals as a side.
Benevento
- F. Salvemini2 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.