Athletic Club vs Londrina Serie B prediction & result
Final score: Athletic Club 2-2 Londrina.
Before kick-off the model made it 50% Athletic Club, 24% draw, 26% Londrina — fair odds of 2.00, 4.17 and 3.85.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Brazilian Serie B predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Athletic Club at 50%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Athletic Club vs Londrina
Line-ups
- 1LuanG
- 75Kauê LeonardoD
- 44Caio RodriguesD
- 4WallaceD
- 34HeronD
- 5TárikM
- 7Victor HugoM
- 38Geovane MeurerM
- 22João VitorM
- 28HerbertM
- 23William PottkerF
- 96ThalisM
- 17João ConiF
- 30Mauricio KozlinskiG
- 9GilbertoF
- 13André Dhominique Queiroz Santiago da SilvaD
- 33KevynD
- 15Gabriel LacerdaD
- 19Cainã Santos Da SilvaM
- 99Igor BahiaF
Form going into Athletic Club vs Londrina
Athletic Club
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Goias6 October 2026
- L1-2Sport Recife1 October 2026
- D0-0Alaves19 September 2026
- D1-1Elche12 September 2026
- W3-0Atletico Madrid5 September 2026
Londrina
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to Avai7 October 2026
- L0-2Criciuma2 October 2026
What these results say
- Athletic Club failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Athletic Club scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Athletic Club and Londrina in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Athletic Club | La Liga | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 18 | Londrina | Serie B | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 35 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: La Liga · Brazil Serie B
Head-to-head: Athletic Club vs Londrina
- 20 June 2026Londrina 2–0 Athletic Club MGSerie B
- 5 October 2024Athletic Club MG 2–1 LondrinaSerie C
- 2 September 2024Londrina 2–3 Athletic Club MGSerie C
- 13 July 2024Athletic Club MG 2–1 LondrinaSerie C
Leading scorers: Athletic Club and Londrina
Athletic Club
GoalsAssists
- Álex Berenguer44
Londrina
GoalsAssists
- Bruno Santos113
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Athletic Club and Londrina drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Athletic Club at 50% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: João Vitor de Souza Martins (penalty) 4' for Londrina, João Miguel 18' for Athletic Club MG, João Vitor de Souza Martins (penalty) 84' for Londrina, João Miguel 89' for Athletic Club MG.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Londrina a 91.2% chance to finish in the bottom three: 82.2% after a win, 91.4% after a draw, 95.3% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure about where it was, at 91.4%.
Read from our Serie B season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.