Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Atlanta United FC 2-1 Sporting Kansas City.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% Atlanta United FC, 19% draw, 19% Sporting Kansas City — fair odds of 1.61, 5.26 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atlanta United FC at 62% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City
Atlanta United FC
- W2-1away to Minnesota United FC20 August 2026
- W2-1New York Red Bulls15 August 2026
- L2-3away to Philadelphia Union1 August 2026
- L1-4away to New England Revolution25 July 2026
- D2-2away to Charlotte23 July 2026
Sporting Kansas City
- D1-1St. Louis City20 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City
- 17 February 2024Atlanta United FC 1–3 Sporting Kansas CityFriendlies Clubs
- 27 February 2022Atlanta United FC 3–1 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- 6 May 2019Sporting Kansas City 0–3 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- 9 May 2018Atlanta United FC 0–2 Sporting Kansas CityMajor League Soccer
- 7 August 2017Sporting Kansas City 1–1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer