RB Bragantino vs Gremio Serie A prediction & result
Final score: RB Bragantino 1-0 Gremio.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% RB Bragantino, 22% draw, 22% Gremio — fair odds of 1.79, 4.55 and 4.55. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts RB Bragantino at 56% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into RB Bragantino vs Gremio
RB Bragantino
- D1-1away to Atletico Paranaense15 August 2026
Gremio
- L0-3away to Atletico Mineiro16 August 2026
- W2-1Sao Paulo8 August 2026
- D1-1Fluminense26 July 2026
- L1-2away to Mirassol17 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Serie A table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 29 | +3 | 36 |
| 16 | Gremio | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: RB Bragantino vs Gremio
- 13 March 2026Gremio 1–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 4 October 2025RB Bragantino 1–0 GremioSerie A
- 10 May 2025Gremio 1–1 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 15 September 2024RB Bragantino 2–2 GremioSerie A
- 1 June 2024Gremio 0–2 RB BragantinoSerie A
- 15 September 2023RB Bragantino 2–0 GremioSerie A
Leading scorers: RB Bragantino and Gremio
RB Bragantino
No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 32 league goals as a side.
Gremio
- Carlos Vinícius10 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.