New England Revolution vs New York City FC Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: New England Revolution 1-1 New York City FC.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% New England Revolution, 20% draw, 25% New York City FC — fair odds of 1.82, 5.00 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts New England Revolution at 55% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into New England Revolution vs New York City FC
New England Revolution
- W3-0away to DC United19 August 2026
- L1-2away to Toronto FC15 August 2026
- L0-2Houston Dynamo8 August 2026
- D2-2away to CF Montreal1 August 2026
- W4-1Atlanta United FC25 July 2026
New York City FC
- L1-2away to FC Cincinnati19 August 2026
- L2-3Philadelphia Union16 August 2026
- D1-1Toronto FC31 July 2026
- W3-1Chicago Fire25 July 2026
- W2-1away to Columbus Crew22 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Head-to-head: New England Revolution vs New York City FC
- 19 April 2025New England Revolution 2–0 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- 15 March 2025New York City FC 2–1 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- 9 August 2024New England Revolution 1–1 New York City FCLeagues Cup
- 25 May 2024New England Revolution 0–1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
- 13 April 2024New York City FC 2–0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
- 3 June 2023New York City FC 0–0 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: New England Revolution and New York City FC
New England Revolution
No leading scorers listed yet.
New York City FC
- N. Fernández Mercau15 goals4 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.