Atlante FC vs Toluca Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Atlante FC 0-0 Toluca.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Atlante FC, 24% draw, 37% Toluca — fair odds of 2.56, 4.17 and 2.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atlante FC at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Atlante FC vs Toluca
Atlante FC
- W3-2away to Cruz Azul2 August 2026
- D1-1Club America25 July 2026
- L1-2away to Necaxa17 July 2026
Toluca
- W3-1Necaxa3 August 2026
- L1-2Pumas UNAM22 July 2026
- W2-0away to Guadalajara Chivas19 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Atlante FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 1 | Toluca | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atlante FC vs Toluca
- 10 July 2026Atlante FC 3–3 TolucaFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Atlante FC and Toluca
Atlante FC
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Toluca
- F. Viñas3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.