Toluca sit 1st in the Liga MX on 19 points from 8 matches, having scored 18 and conceded 6. The model rates their attack at 0.86× the league average and their defence at 1.24× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 4 wins and 1 draw, most recently beating Puebla 1-0 away. That is 2.38 points a match, scoring 2.25 and conceding 0.75 per game across 6 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat. They lead the 18-team table, 2 points clear of Guadalajara Chivas. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 3rd-best attack and the 7th-best defence. They scored in 3 of those 5 and kept 2 clean sheets. Next they host Santos Laguna in the Liga MX on 21 September 2026, a match the model gives them 48%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Toluca | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 6 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 17 |
| 3 | Club America | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 16 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 15 |
| 5 | Club Queretaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 13 |
| 6 | Leon | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Puebla | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
| 10 | CF Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 11 |
| 11 | Pumas UNAM | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 10 |
| 13 | Necaxa | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Tigres UANL | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
| 15 | Atlante FC | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 23 | -19 | 0 |
Toluca sit 1 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- W1-0away to Puebla16 September 2026
- W5-2Atlas12 September 2026
- W4-0FC Juarez31 August 2026
- W2-1away to Club Queretaro22 August 2026
- D0-0away to Atlante FC15 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: Toluca vs Santos Laguna
Toluca host Santos Laguna at Estadio Nemesio Diez, Toluca on 21 September 2026, 00:00 UTC. The model makes it 48% Toluca, 28% draw and 24% Santos Laguna, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0. It projects 1.86 expected goals for Toluca against 1.00. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.
Full preview and model analysis for Toluca vs Santos Laguna
Recent meetings with Santos Laguna
- 15 January 2026Toluca 3–1 Santos LagunaLiga MX
- 17 July 2025Santos Laguna 2–4 TolucaLiga MX
- 7 April 2025Toluca 2–1 Santos LagunaLiga MX
- 23 September 2024Santos Laguna 2–0 TolucaLiga MX
- 22 February 2024Toluca 1–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
The last 5 meetings between the two, most recent first.
Upcoming fixtures
Recent results
Leading scorers
- F. Viñas3 goals
League goals this season.