15 August 2026, 18:15 UTC

Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv First League prediction & result

Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Ludogorets 2-0 Botev Plovdiv.

Before kick-off the model made it 70% Ludogorets, 17% draw, 13% Botev Plovdiv — fair odds of 1.43, 5.88 and 7.69. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Ludogorets at 70% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽T. Awany (OG)
32'
⚽Rwan Cruzassist: B. Tekpetey
34'
46'
🔁N. Ilievout: G. Milanov
46'
🔁T. Awanyout: M. Senger
60'
🔁Mascoteout: O. M. Chidera
🔁A. Salido Tajeroout: D. Duarte
71'
71'
🔁M. Rodriguesout: D. Tonev
71'
🔁A. Chandarovout: E. Silva
Rwan Cruz
79'
🔁Rwan Cruzout: K. Duah
80'
🔁S. Shishkovout: Vinicius Nogueira
80'
🔁B. Tekpeteyout: E. Bile
80'
🔁A. Camaraout: A. Marinov
90'

Line-ups

Ludogorets 4-2-3-1
  • 39Hendrik BonmannG
  • 2Joel AnderssonD
  • 15Edvin KurtulusD
  • 3Anton NedyalkovD
  • 42Simeon ShishkovD
  • 18Ivajlo ChochevM
  • 26Filip KaločM
  • 7Alberto SalidoF
  • 20Aguibou CamaraM
  • 37Bernard TekpeteyM
  • 12Rwan CruzF
Substitutes
  • 23Deroy DuarteM
  • 27Vinicius NogueiraD
  • 29Yves Erick BileF
  • 9Kwadwo DuahF
  • 1Sergio PadtG
  • 22Mihail PolendakovD
  • 55Idan NachmiasD
  • 17SonD
  • 5Georgi TerzievD
Coach: Thomas Reis
Botev Plovdiv 4-2-3-1
  • 29Daniel NaumovG
  • 82Vladimir MendesD
  • 87Simeon PetrovD
  • 20Timothy AwanyD
  • 27Bryan-Anthony Chibuike HeinD
  • 77Lucas AraujoM
  • 10Asen ChandarovM
  • 19Mauro RodriguesM
  • 7Nikola IlievM
  • 90Samuel KaluM
  • 30Franklin MascoteF
Substitutes
  • 22Marvin SengerD
  • 17Georgi MilanovM
  • 9Chidera Micheal OkohF
  • 23Dimitar TonevM
  • 45Edson SilvaM
  • 21Nikolay PrandzhevG
  • 15Bogdan KostovD
  • 6Ivaylo VidevD
  • 16Veliyan VidolovM
Coach: Stanislav Genchev

Form going into Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv

Ludogorets

  • W3-2away to Cherno More Varna9 August 2026
  • W2-1Botev Vratsa2 August 2026
  • D2-2Hapoel Tel Aviv30 July 2026
  • W2-0away to Dunav Ruse27 July 2026
  • L0-2away to Hapoel Tel Aviv23 July 2026

Botev Plovdiv

  • W3-2Spartak Varna10 August 2026
  • W1-0Cherno More Varna1 August 2026
  • L2-3away to CSKA Sofia27 July 2026
  • D1-1Lokomotiv Sofia20 July 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

First League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Ludogorets9720167+923
6Botev Plovdiv94141314-113

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv

  • 15 August 2026Ludogorets 2–0 Botev PlovdivFirst League
  • 23 February 2026Botev Plovdiv 2–1 LudogoretsFirst League
  • 31 August 2025Ludogorets 2–1 Botev PlovdivFirst League
  • 27 February 2025Ludogorets 0–0 Botev PlovdivCup
  • 4 February 2025Ludogorets 3–2 Botev PlovdivSuper Cup
  • 19 December 2024Botev Plovdiv 2–4 LudogoretsFirst League
Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.