Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Atletico San Luis 1-1 CF Pachuca.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Atletico San Luis, 26% draw, 38% CF Pachuca — fair odds of 2.78, 3.85 and 2.63. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts CF Pachuca at 38% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
- L0-3away to Club America16 August 2026
CF Pachuca
- L2-3Puebla18 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
| 10 | CF Pachuca | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca
- 14 March 2026Atletico San Luis 1–1 CF PachucaLiga MX
- 27 September 2025CF Pachuca 2–1 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 21 April 2025Atletico San Luis 2–1 CF PachucaLiga MX
- 17 July 2024CF Pachuca 2–0 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
- 18 March 2024Atletico San Luis 2–1 CF PachucaLiga MX
- 29 August 2023CF Pachuca 0–2 Atletico San LuisLiga MX
Leading scorers: Atletico San Luis and CF Pachuca
Atletico San Luis
- Rafa Llorente3 goals
CF Pachuca
- S. Rondón8 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.