Puebla vs Santos Laguna Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Puebla 3-2 Santos Laguna.
Before kick-off the model made it 40% Puebla, 26% draw, 34% Santos Laguna — fair odds of 2.50, 3.85 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Puebla at 40% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Puebla vs Santos Laguna
Puebla
- W3-2away to CF Pachuca18 August 2026
Santos Laguna
- L0-1Guadalajara Chivas17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Puebla | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Puebla vs Santos Laguna
- 22 March 2026Santos Laguna 2–1 PueblaLiga MX
- 26 July 2025Puebla 1–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
- 2 February 2025Santos Laguna 0–2 PueblaLiga MX
- 5 July 2024Puebla 1–0 Santos LagunaLiga MX
- 31 January 2024Santos Laguna 3–0 PueblaLiga MX
- 8 July 2023Puebla 2–3 Santos LagunaLiga MX
Leading scorers: Puebla and Santos Laguna
Puebla
- E. Mustre3 goals1 assists
Santos Laguna
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 6 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.