Cruz Azul vs Atlas Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Cruz Azul 0-2 Atlas.
Before kick-off the model made it 62% Cruz Azul, 19% draw, 19% Atlas — fair odds of 1.61, 5.26 and 5.26. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Cruz Azul at 62% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Cruz Azul vs Atlas
Cruz Azul
- L1-2away to Club Tijuana17 August 2026
Atlas
- W2-1Tigres UANL16 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Atlas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Cruz Azul vs Atlas
- 10 May 2026Cruz Azul 1–0 AtlasLiga MX
- 3 May 2026Atlas 2–3 Cruz AzulLiga MX
- 14 January 2026Cruz Azul 2–0 AtlasLiga MX
- 20 July 2025Atlas 3–3 Cruz AzulLiga MX
- 12 January 2025Cruz Azul 1–1 AtlasLiga MX
- 7 November 2024Atlas 2–2 Cruz AzulLiga MX
Leading scorers: Cruz Azul and Atlas
Cruz Azul
- J. Márquez3 goals1 assists
- N. Ibáñez3 goals
Atlas
No player in Liga MX's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.