5 September 2026, 23:00 UTC

Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX prediction & result

Estadio Libertad Financiera
Full time0 – 3

Final score: Atletico San Luis 0-3 Guadalajara Chivas.

Before kick-off the model made it 39% Atletico San Luis, 28% draw, 33% Guadalajara Chivas — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Atletico San Luis at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

6'
⚽A. Sanchez (OG)
10'
⚽R. Marinassist: A. Sepulveda
🔁A. Duarteout: Lucas Esteves
30'
🔁A. Sanchezout: M. G. Lajud
33'
Johan Caicedo
45+3'
🔁J. Caicedoout: L. Flores
46'
61'
🔁H. Camberosout: R. Ledezma
61'
🔁A. Sepulvedaout: E. Alvarez
🔁M. Garciaout: S. Perez
71'
🔁D. Rodriguezout: R. Najera
71'
71'
🔁D. Aguirreout: K. Castaneda
71'
🔁S. Sandovalout: L. Rey
79'
🔁F. Gonzalezout: B. Gutierrez
80'
⚽R. Ledezmaassist: R. Marin

Match stats — Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas

50%Possession50%
10Shots7
4On target3
3Corners2
0.72xG0.62

Goals against chances

Atletico San Luis0 from 0.72 xGless than the chances were worth
Guadalajara Chivas3 from 0.62 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Atletico San Luis 5-4-1
  • 1A. SanchezG
  • 2R. TorresD
  • 3Robson BambuD
  • 14M. GarciaD
  • 31E. AguilaD
  • 17A. DuarteD
  • 11D. RodriguezM
  • 13J. CaicedoM
  • 21O. MaciasM
  • 10S. Salles-LamongeM
  • 22R. LlorenteF
Substitutes
  • 25M. G. LajudG
  • 18A. CruzD
  • 16Lucas EstevesD
  • 30B. GalindoD
  • 26S. PerezM
  • 5R. MerazM
  • 7B. GaldamesM
  • 19S. MunozF
  • 8R. NajeraM
Coach: Raul Chabrand
Guadalajara Chivas 3-4-2-1
  • 1R. RangelG
  • 23D. AguirreD
  • 3D. Campillo Del CampoD
  • 7L. RomoD
  • 25R. AlvaradoM
  • 6O. GoveaM
  • 28F. GonzalezM
  • 14H. CamberosM
  • 30S. SandovalF
  • 17R. MarinF
  • 9A. SepulvedaF
Substitutes
  • 13O. WhalleyG
  • 37R. LedezmaD
  • 56A. ChavezD
  • 19K. CastanedaM
  • 10E. AlvarezF
  • 11B. GutierrezM
  • 16L. ReyD
  • 33J. CarrilloM
  • 18J. PerezM
Coach: Gabriel Milito

Form going into Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas

Atletico San Luis

All competitions we cover

  • W3-1away to Monterrey31 August 2026
  • D1-1CF Pachuca23 August 2026
  • L0-3away to Club America16 August 2026
  • D0-0Club Tijuana1 August 2026
  • D2-2away to Tigres UANL26 July 2026

Guadalajara Chivas

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to CF Pachuca29 August 2026
  • W5-2Club Tijuana22 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Santos Laguna17 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Puebla1 August 2026
  • W1-0FC Juarez25 July 2026

What these results say

  • Atletico San Luis failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Atletico San Luis conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Guadalajara Chivas went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Guadalajara Chivas scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Guadalajara Chivas had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga MX table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
14Atletico San Luis165471924-519
3Guadalajara Chivas168622615+1130

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

The result against the call

Guadalajara Chivas won 3–0 at Atletico San Luis. The model had leaned towards a win for Atletico San Luis at 39% and given a win for Guadalajara Chivas 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: A. Sanchez (own goal) 6' for Guadalajara Chivas, R. Marin 10' for Guadalajara Chivas, R. Ledezma 80' for Guadalajara Chivas. On expected goals it finished 0.72–0.62.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.