Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX prediction & result
Final score: Atletico San Luis 0-3 Guadalajara Chivas.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Atletico San Luis, 28% draw, 33% Guadalajara Chivas — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Atletico San Luis at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas
Atletico San Luis
- W3-1away to Monterrey31 August 2026
- D1-1CF Pachuca23 August 2026
- L0-3away to Club America16 August 2026
Guadalajara Chivas
- D1-1away to CF Pachuca29 August 2026
- W5-2Club Tijuana22 August 2026
- W1-0away to Santos Laguna17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Atletico San Luis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | -7 | 6 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +9 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Atletico San Luis and Guadalajara Chivas
Atletico San Luis
- Rafa Llorente3 goals
Guadalajara Chivas
- R. Alvarado3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.