12 September 2026, 20:30 UTC

Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro, Tucuman
Full time1 – 2

Final score: Atletico Tucuman 1-2 River Plate.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Atletico Tucuman, 30% draw, 34% River Plate — fair odds of 2.78, 3.33 and 2.94. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Atletico Tucuman at 36% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1764 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate

Atletico Tucuman

  • W2-1away to Racing Club7 September 2026
  • D0-0Belgrano Cordoba30 August 2026
  • D0-0Instituto Cordoba22 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto17 August 2026
  • L1-2Sarmiento Junin8 August 2026

River Plate

  • W3-1Independiente Rivadavia6 September 2026
  • W3-2away to Banfield30 August 2026
  • D2-2Velez Sarsfield23 August 2026
  • W2-0Argentinos Juniors16 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Tigre8 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Atletico Tucuman vs River Plate

  • 3 May 2026River Plate 0–1 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 21 September 2025Atletico Tucuman 2–0 River PlateLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 9 March 2025River Plate 1–0 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 14 September 2024River Plate 4–1 Atletico TucumanLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 15 February 2024Atletico Tucuman 0–0 River PlateCopa de la Liga Profesional
  • 22 September 2023River Plate 1–0 Atletico TucumanCopa de la Liga Profesional

Leading scorers: Atletico Tucuman and River Plate

Atletico Tucuman

  • L. Díaz7 goals1 assists

River Plate

  • S. Driussi6 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.