12 September 2026, 17:45 UTC

Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi Liga Profesional Argentina prediction & result

Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini, Mendoza
Full time4 – 3

Final score: Independiente Rivadavia 4-3 Aldosivi.

Before kick-off the model made it 47% Independiente Rivadavia, 26% draw, 27% Aldosivi — fair odds of 2.13, 3.85 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Independiente Rivadavia at 47% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi

Independiente Rivadavia

  • L1-3away to River Plate6 September 2026
  • W3-1Racing Club31 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Independiente22 August 2026
  • L0-2away to Belgrano Cordoba15 August 2026
  • W2-1Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto8 August 2026

Aldosivi

  • W3-1Banfield5 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Argentinos Juniors30 August 2026
  • L1-3Union Santa Fe21 August 2026
  • D0-0Tigre15 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Rosario Central7 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Head-to-head: Independiente Rivadavia vs Aldosivi

  • 26 August 2026Aldosivi 0–2 Independiente RivadaviaCopa Argentina
  • 3 May 2026Aldosivi 1–1 Independiente RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 1 November 2025Aldosivi 3–1 Independiente RivadaviaLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 23 April 2025Independiente Rivadavia 1–0 AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina
  • 17 June 2023Independiente Rivadavia 2–1 AldosiviPrimera Nacional
  • 10 February 2023Aldosivi 1–2 Independiente RivadaviaPrimera Nacional

Leading scorers: Independiente Rivadavia and Aldosivi

Independiente Rivadavia

  • A. Arce9 goals1 assists
  • F. Sartori8 goals

Aldosivi

No leading scorers listed yet.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.